5 October 2026, 22:15 UTC

Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo Division Profesional - Clausura prediction & result

Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Referee: Mario Alberto Diaz De Vivar
Full time0 – 2

Final score: Cerro Porteno 0-2 2 de Mayo.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Cerro Porteno, 29% draw, 26% 2 de Mayo — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Cerro Porteno at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Cerro Porteno0%Draw1%2 de Mayo99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
⚽Tobias Cerveraassist: Alan Gómez
25'
Alan Gómez
Gustavo Adolfo Costas Makeira
45'
🔁Jorge Morelout: Piris da Motta
45'
45'
🔁Luis Delgadilloout: Marcos Gómez
🔁Jonathan Gabriel Torresout: Sergio Araujo
60'
🔁Juan Iturbeout: Derlis Osmar Rodríguez Maciel
60'
61'
⚽Alan Gómezassist: Marcos Gómez
🔁Carlos Rubén Chena Báezout: Cesar Bobadilla
65'
65'
Danilo Lerda
68'
🔁Alan Gómezout: Pedro Delvalle
75'
🔁Tobias Cerveraout: F. Cáceres
75'
🔁Cesar Castroout: Ulises Coronel
76'
🔁Matías Moyaout: Estifen Arnaldo Diaz Atienza
🔁Ignacio Alisedaout: Fabricio Domínguez
78'
81'
Estifen Arnaldo Diaz Atienza

Match stats — Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo

67%Possession33%
16Shots9
4On target2
16Corners1

Line-ups

Cerro Porteno 4-4-2
  • 1M. RoffoG
  • 16I. RamírezD
  • 23G. VelázquezD
  • 14L. QuintanaD
  • 13G. BenítezD
  • 31I. AlisedaM
  • 5J. MorelM
  • 34C. ChenaM
  • 11J. IturbeM
  • 27J. TorresF
  • 19P. VegettiF
Substitutes
  • 21S. AraújoF
  • 20E. AlmendraM
  • 32C. BobadillaM
  • 2F. DomínguezM
  • 18A. GamarraM
  • 30G. GiménezM
  • 40M. KlimowiczM
  • 12A. MartínezG
  • 6L. MerollaD
Coach: G. Costas
2 de Mayo 5-4-1
  • 1D. LerdaG
  • 23A. EspínolaD
  • 3A. VillalbaD
  • 21P. SosaD
  • 6C. RamírezD
  • 19C. CastroD
  • 10A. GómezM
  • 37L. DelgadilloM
  • 24Ó. RomeroM
  • 27M. MoyaM
  • 25A. CerveraF
Substitutes
  • 11U. CoronelD
  • 7F. CáceresF
  • 17P. DelvalleF
  • 20E. DíazM
  • 40Marcelo GonzálezF
  • 16M. GómezM
  • 12Alfredo MachadoM
  • 32Mario RamírezG
  • 5C. SaizD
Coach: Eduardo Ledesma

Division Profesional - Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Cerro Porteno198472520+528
62 de Mayo198651821-330

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Cerro Porteno vs 2 de Mayo

  • 28 July 20262 de Mayo 2–1 Cerro PortenoDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 4 April 2026Cerro Porteno 3–0 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Apertura
  • 7 February 20262 de Mayo 0–0 Cerro PortenoDivision Profesional - Apertura
  • 11 October 20252 de Mayo 0–0 Cerro PortenoDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 30 July 2025Cerro Porteno 3–2 2 de MayoDivision Profesional - Clausura

Leading scorers: Cerro Porteno and 2 de Mayo

Cerro Porteno

GoalsAssists

  • P. Vegetti80
  • J. Morel50
  • D. Rodríguez45

2 de Mayo

GoalsAssists

  • D. Acosta51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

2 de Mayo won 2–0 at Cerro Porteno. The model had leaned towards a win for Cerro Porteno at 45% and given a win for 2 de Mayo 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Tobias Cervera 8' for 2 de Mayo, Alan Gómez 61' for 2 de Mayo.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.