Sportivo Ameliano vs Rubio NU Division Profesional - Clausura prediction & result
Final score: Sportivo Ameliano 1-2 Rubio NU.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Sportivo Ameliano, 26% draw, 24% Rubio NU — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Sportivo Ameliano at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sportivo Ameliano vs Rubio NU
Line-ups
- 35Angel SanchezG
- 13Ronald PeraltaD
- 5Hugo BenitezD
- 22Andrea FalabellaD
- 19Abel ParedesD
- 8Estivel MoreiraM
- 15Walter RodríguezM
- 24Luis AyalaM
- 20Valentín LarraldeM
- 14Edgar Raul Paez ToralesM
- 9Cristhian OcamposF
- 18Luis OrtizM
- 10Raúl CabralM
- 32Marcelo CamargoM
- 7Fredy VeraM
- 17Richard ToralesF
- 1Junior Ramón BalbuenaG
- 34Miguel BenítezD
- 4Pablo ArandaD
- 26Julio GonzalezD
- 25Franco FraguedaG
- 2Rodi FerreiraD
- 3Javier VallejosD
- 5Pedro AlvarezD
- 13Victor CabañasD
- 23Tobías LeivaM
- 15Cristian NúñezM
- 26Sergio FretesM
- 29Octavio AlfonsoM
- 35Lucas MontielM
- 9Rodrigo Ruiz DíazF
- 40Estiven PérezF
- 36Carlos GimenezD
- 8Rodrigo RojasM
- 14Mariano RamosD
- 32Lautaro MaldonadoG
- 16Jorge GonzálezD
- 7Elías AlfonsoM
- 27Alan LedesmaM
- 18Marcelo AcostaM
Division Profesional - Clausura table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sportivo Ameliano | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 19 |
| 10 | Rubio NU | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sportivo Ameliano vs Rubio NU
- 28 July 2026Rubio NU 1–1 Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Clausura
- 23 March 2026Rubio NU 1–2 Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 25 January 2026Sportivo Ameliano 2–2 Rubio NUDivision Profesional - Apertura
- 17 October 2021Rubio NU 0–1 Sportivo AmelianoDivision Intermedia
- 5 July 2021Sportivo Ameliano 1–0 Rubio NUDivision Intermedia
Leading scorers: Sportivo Ameliano and Rubio NU
Sportivo Ameliano
GoalsAssists
- C. Ocampos53
- R. Torales51
- E. Moreira50
Rubio NU
GoalsAssists
- R. Ruiz Díaz43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rubio NU won 2–1 at Sportivo Ameliano. The model had leaned towards a win for Sportivo Ameliano at 50% and given a win for Rubio NU 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Sergio Fretes 35' for Rubio NU, Sergio Fretes 58' for Rubio NU, Richard Torales 90+1' for Sportivo Ameliano.