5 October 2026, 20:00 UTC

Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno Division Profesional - Clausura prediction & result

Estadio Martin Torres, Asuncion
Referee: Alipio Colman
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Sportivo Trinidense 3-2 Sportivo Luqueno.

Before kick-off the model made it 57% Sportivo Trinidense, 24% draw, 19% Sportivo Luqueno — fair odds of 1.75, 4.17 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sportivo Trinidense at 57%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sportivo Trinidense97%Draw3%Sportivo Luqueno0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Tomás Ezequiel Rayer
5'
12'
Alexis Cantero
43'
⚽Iván Maggiassist: Oscar Ruiz
⚽Néstor Camacho (pen)
45+2'
45'
🔁Thiago Adalberto Franco Paniaguaout: Aldo Maiz
45'
🔁Adrián Brizuelaout: Santiago Ocampos Ibarra
•Néstor Camacho
56'
58'
🔁Lautaro Comasout: Marcelo Ojeda
Nelson Ariel Gauto Castillo
61'
63'
⚽Iván Maggiassist: Santiago Ocampos Ibarra
🔁Nicolás Manáout: Junior Samuel Gamarra Figueredo
64'
🔁Néstor Camachoout: Deivis Faustino Barone Mora
64'
Tomás Ezequiel Rayer
65'
69'
Aldo Maiz
73'
🔁Fernando Benitez Aguirreout: Tomás Muro
⚽Gustavo Vieraassist: Deivis Faustino Barone Mora
76'
78'
🔁Oscar Ruizout: Marcelo Pérez
🔁Alan Tobias Morinigoout: Joel Ramón Román Ojeda
78'
🔁Tomás Ezequiel Rayerout: David Villalba
84'
🔁Nelson Ariel Gauto Castilloout: Luis De la Cruz
84'
•Junior Samuel Gamarra Figueredo
87'

Match stats — Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno

33%Possession67%
9Shots15
5On target7
5Corners7

Line-ups

Sportivo Trinidense 4-1-4-1
  • 12V. SamudioG
  • 23C. BenítezD
  • 40A. da SilveiraD
  • 6A. CañeteD
  • 4D. MelgarejoD
  • 5N. GautoM
  • 10N. ManáM
  • 21G. VieraM
  • 29T. RayerM
  • 31A. MorinigoM
  • 7N. CamachoF
Substitutes
  • 24F. BarujaM
  • 13Deivis Faustino Barone MoraF
  • 19A. CanoM
  • 1M. DufourG
  • 22J. GamarraF
  • 9O. GiménezF
  • 37L. GonzalezM
  • 16J. MarcelinoM
  • 14S. MendozaM
Coach: J. Arrúa
Sportivo Luqueno 4-1-4-1
  • 1N. CampisiG
  • 2M. BarretoD
  • 3Á. BrizuelaD
  • 6F. WiechniakD
  • 23A. CanteroD
  • 14F. BenitezM
  • 37L. ComasM
  • 30T. FrancoM
  • 10G. BogadoM
  • 11Ó. RuízM
  • 20I. MaggiF
Substitutes
  • 24S. BeltránM
  • 18F. BobadillaM
  • 9W. GonzálezF
  • 8A. MaízM
  • 12F. MongelosG
  • 29T. MuroM
  • 22S. OcamposD
  • 21M. OjedaM
  • 7K. PereiraF
Coach: Lucas Barrios

Division Profesional - Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Sportivo Trinidense1910453118+1334
8Sportivo Luqueno1971112533-822

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sportivo Trinidense vs Sportivo Luqueno

  • 29 July 2026Sportivo Luqueno 1–4 Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 25 April 2026Sportivo Luqueno 2–1 Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Profesional - Apertura
  • 25 February 2026Sportivo Trinidense 1–1 Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Apertura
  • 17 October 2025Sportivo Luqueno 1–0 Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 2 August 2025Sportivo Trinidense 2–0 Sportivo LuquenoDivision Profesional - Clausura

Leading scorers: Sportivo Trinidense and Sportivo Luqueno

Sportivo Trinidense

GoalsAssists

  • F. Romero71

Sportivo Luqueno

GoalsAssists

  • I. Maggi52

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Sportivo Trinidense beat Sportivo Luqueno 3–2. The model had made a win for Sportivo Trinidense its most likely outcome, at 57%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Tomás Ezequiel Rayer 5' for Sportivo Trinidense, Iván Maggi 43' for Sportivo Luqueno, Néstor Camacho (penalty) 45+2' for Sportivo Trinidense, Iván Maggi 63' for Sportivo Luqueno, Gustavo Viera 76' for Sportivo Trinidense.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.