6 October 2026, 22:15 UTC

Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion Division Profesional - Clausura prediction & result

Estadio Osvaldo Dominguez Dibb
Referee: Derlis Lopez
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Olimpia 1-1 Nacional Asuncion.

Before kick-off the model made it 38% Olimpia, 30% draw, 32% Nacional Asuncion — fair odds of 2.63, 3.33 and 3.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Olimpia at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Olimpia4%Draw93%Nacional Asuncion3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
⚽Orlando Gaona Lugoassist: Ignacio Bailone
Juan Fernando Alfaro
22'
23'
Carlos Espinola
45'
🔁Gerardo Ortizout: Elias Villlar
🔁Rubén Lezcanoout: Hugo Sandoval
46'
Hugo Sandoval
55'
58'
🔁Roberto Ramírezout: Gaston Benitez
58'
🔁Josué Colmánout: Hugo Valdez
🔁Franco Alfonsoout: Richard Sánchez
61'
🔁Fernando Cardozoout: Rodney Redes
61'
🔁Juan Fernando Alfaroout: Pedro Zarza
70'
⚽Hugo Sandovalassist: Richard Sánchez
75'
🔁Raúl Cáceresout: Tim Payne
76'
76'
🔁Orlando Gaona Lugoout: Roque Santa Cruz
76'
🔁Ignacio Bailoneout: Alejandro Samudio
Gabriel Ávalos
90'
90'
Rodrigo Melgarejo

Match stats — Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion

70%Possession30%
29Shots6
4On target2
6Corners4

Line-ups

Olimpia 4-3-3
  • 12Sebastián LentinellyG
  • 27Raúl CáceresD
  • 22Juan VeraD
  • 15Mateo GamarraD
  • 23Esteban MatusD
  • 7Fernando CardozoM
  • 5Juan Fernando AlfaroM
  • 20Eduardo DelmasM
  • 19Rubén LezcanoF
  • 9Gabriel ÁvalosF
  • 35Franco AlfonsoF
Substitutes
  • 34Hugo SandovalF
  • 17Rodney RedesD
  • 26Richard SánchezM
  • 33Pedro ZarzaF
  • 4Tim PayneD
  • 13Lucas VerzaG
  • 14Gustavo VargasD
  • 3Julio VargasD
  • 18Sebastián QuintanaM
Nacional Asuncion 4-2-3-1
  • 1Gerardo OrtizG
  • 23Carlos EspinolaD
  • 22Rodrigo MelgarejoD
  • 3Mauro CoronelD
  • 29Sebastian VargasD
  • 8Fabrizio JaraM
  • 25Roberto RamírezM
  • 33Orlando Gaona LugoM
  • 13Leandro MezaM
  • 10Josué ColmánM
  • 7Ignacio BailoneF
Substitutes
  • 35Elias VilllarG
  • 5Gaston BenitezD
  • 18Hugo ValdezF
  • 24Roque Santa CruzF
  • 28Alejandro SamudioF
  • 20Rodolfo Arguello BalbuenaD
  • 32Francisco PumpidoM
  • 17Jordan SantacruzM
  • 6Silvio ToralesM

Division Profesional - Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Olimpia1913333714+2342
4Nacional Asuncion199552614+1232

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Olimpia vs Nacional Asuncion

  • 29 July 2026Nacional Asuncion 2–0 OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 4 April 2026Olimpia 3–0 Nacional AsuncionDivision Profesional - Apertura
  • 8 February 2026Nacional Asuncion 1–2 OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Apertura
  • 14 September 2025Nacional Asuncion 4–1 OlimpiaDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 6 July 2025Olimpia 1–1 Nacional AsuncionDivision Profesional - Clausura

Leading scorers: Olimpia and Nacional Asuncion

Olimpia

GoalsAssists

  • G. Ávalos83
  • A. Alcaraz71
  • R. Benitez43

Nacional Asuncion

GoalsAssists

  • H. Benítez66
  • I. Valdez61

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Olimpia and Nacional Asuncion drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Olimpia at 38% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Orlando Gaona Lugo 16' for Nacional Asuncion, Hugo Sandoval 75' for Olimpia.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.