3 October 2026, 20:00 UTC

Club Guarani vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo Division Profesional - Clausura prediction & result

Estadio Rogelio Livieres, Asunción
Referee: J. Benitez
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Club Guarani 1-1 Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Before kick-off the model made it 60% Club Guarani, 26% draw, 14% Club Sp. San Lorenzo — fair odds of 1.67, 3.85 and 7.14.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Club Guarani at 60%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Club Guarani6%Draw93%Club Sp. San Lorenzo1%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

2'
Carlos Daniel Meza Montiel
Cristian Leandro Allende
5'
⚽L. Martínez
11'
29'
Hugo González
45'
🔁Carlos Daniel Meza Montielout: I Fretes
45'
🔁Hugo Gonzálezout: Ángel Benítez
46'
Franco Aragón
50'
Alex Junior Álvarez Rojas
56'
⚽Franco Aragón
🔁Juan Manuel Garcíaout: Fernando Fernandez
62'
🔁Carlos Arruaout: P. Coronel
62'
🔁Diego·Fernandezout: Giovanni Emanuel Gómez Lezcano
62'
62'
🔁Alex Junior Álvarez Rojasout: K. Fernández
66'
Luis Cáceres
68'
🔁Santiago Salcedoout: Cristian Colmán
🔁Armando Méndezout: R. Rodríguez
74'
🔁J. Llanoout: Jorge Recalde
79'
79'
🔁Gastón Gerzelout: Juan Jesús Salcedo Zárate

Match stats — Club Guarani vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo

49%Possession51%
12Shots19
4On target3
5Corners3

Line-ups

Club Guarani 4-1-4-1
  • 31M. MartínezG
  • 4A. MéndezD
  • 2I. SegoviaD
  • 15T. ServínD
  • 33L. AllendeD
  • 36L. MartínezM
  • 34M. MaldonadoM
  • 21C. ArrúaM
  • 29F. LlanoM
  • 26D. FernándezM
  • 11J. GarcíaF
Substitutes
  • 38P. CoroneF
  • 17V. CéspedesF
  • 12G. DionisiG
  • 40F. FernándezF
  • 25G. GómezM
  • 23M. JacquetD
  • 20R. QuinonezF
  • 9J. RecaldeM
  • 14R. RodríguezD
Coach: F. Arce
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 4-4-2
  • 12W. QuiñónezG
  • 2L. EstecheD
  • 19Luis Fernando Cáceres MacielD
  • 4A. DoldánD
  • 20D. Meza MontielD
  • 28P. GerzelM
  • 32F. AragónM
  • 21H. GonzalezM
  • 18A. ÁlvarezM
  • 23M. FerreiraF
  • 7S. SalcedoF
Substitutes
  • 13Isaias FretesF
  • 31L. FrancoG
  • 25K. FernándezM
  • 26Amin Duarte Gonzalez JoseM
  • 35C. ColmánF
  • 16Á. BenítezM
  • 9J. BarriosF
  • 5T. ParedesD
  • 15B. PiñataresM
Coach: S. Orteman

Division Profesional - Clausura table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Club Guarani198742117+431
12Club Sp. San Lorenzo1925121432-1811

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Club Guarani vs Club Sp. San Lorenzo

  • 30 July 2026Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 10 April 2026Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–0 Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Apertura
  • 13 February 2026Club Guarani 3–1 Club Sp. San LorenzoDivision Profesional - Apertura
  • 16 November 2020Club Guarani 2–1 Club Sp. San LorenzoDivision Profesional - Clausura
  • 9 August 2020Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1–1 Club GuaraniDivision Profesional - Apertura

Leading scorers: Club Guarani and Club Sp. San Lorenzo

Club Guarani

No player in Division Profesional - Clausura's leading scorers — 21 league goals as a side.

Club Sp. San Lorenzo

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ferreira51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Club Guarani and Club Sp. San Lorenzo drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Club Guarani at 60% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: L. Martínez 11' for Club Guarani, Franco Aragón 56' for Club Sp. San Lorenzo.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.