3 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

Versailles vs Valenciennes Ligue 3 prediction & result

Saint-Germain-en-Laye
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Versailles 1-0 Valenciennes.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Versailles, 25% draw, 24% Valenciennes — fair odds of 1.96, 4.00 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Versailles at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Versailles96%Draw4%Valenciennes0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

A. Barry
20'
28'
V. Marcel
33'
T. Marechal
⚽A. Barry
34'
A. Etien
41'
S. Cara
55'
61'
D. Abu
62'
🔁T. Marechalout: L. Boiteau
🔁A. Etienout: I. Aouad
69'
🔁S. Caraout: K. Rocha Santos
70'
I. Aouad
71'
77'
🔁D. Abuout: G. Courtet
77'
🔁V. Marcelout: I. Tounkara
82'
C. Rocchia
84'
🔁R. Ekraout: D. Linyon
86'
🔁C. Rocchiaout: A. Meite
🔁S. Guillaumeout: J. Kalai
90+1'

Line-ups

Versailles
Coach: Jordan Gonzalez
Valenciennes
Coach: Pierre Blois

Form going into Versailles vs Valenciennes

Versailles

Ligue 3

  • W2-1away to Villefranche26 September 2026

Valenciennes

Ligue 3

  • W2-1Le Puy Foot26 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 3 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Versailles127141914+522
15Valenciennes122461319-610

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Versailles vs Valenciennes

  • 10 April 2026Valenciennes 1–0 VersaillesLigue 3
  • 7 November 2025Versailles 1–1 ValenciennesLigue 3
  • 28 February 2025Valenciennes 0–0 VersaillesLigue 3
  • 26 September 2024Versailles 1–1 ValenciennesLigue 3

The result against the call

Versailles beat Valenciennes 1–0. The model had made a win for Versailles its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: A. Barry 34' for Versailles.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.