Colorado Rapids vs Austin Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Colorado Rapids 1-0 Austin.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Colorado Rapids, 26% draw, 22% Austin — fair odds of 1.92, 3.85 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Colorado Rapids at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Colorado Rapids vs Austin
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 41Nicholas Defreitas-HansenG
- 4Reggie CannonD
- 22Lucas HerringtonD
- 5Loïc WilliamsD
- 29Miguel NavarroD
- 13Wayne FrederickM
- 8Hamzat OjediranM
- 7Dante SealyM
- 10Paxten AaronsonM
- 93Georgi MinoungouM
- 9Rafael NavarroF
- 12Josh AtencioM
- 77Darren YapiF
- 32Donavan PhillipF
- 2Keegan RosenberryD
- 16Alex HarrisF
- 31Adam BeaudryG
- 24Noah CobbD
- 33Kosi ThompsonD
- 47Sydney WathutaF
- 1Brad StuverG
- 35Mateja ĐorđevićD
- 4Brendan Hines-IkeD
- 29Guilherme BiroD
- 30Joseph RosalesM
- 14Besard SabovićM
- 33Owen WolffM
- 17Jon GallagherM
- 11Facundo TorresF
- 9Brandon VázquezF
- 10Myrto UzuniF
- 6Ilie SánchezM
- 38Ervin TorresM
- 77Przemysław PłachetaM
- 7Jayden NelsonF
- 21Christian RamirezF
- 12Damian LasG
- 5Oleksandr SvatokD
- 23Žan KolmaničD
- 24Jorge AlastueyM
Form going into Colorado Rapids vs Austin
Colorado Rapids
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to St. Louis City26 July 2026
- W1-0San Diego23 July 2026
Austin
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Houston Dynamo26 July 2026
- W3-1Seattle Sounders23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 43 |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 65 | -23 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Colorado Rapids vs Austin
- 8 June 2025Colorado Rapids 0–2 AustinMajor League Soccer
- 9 March 2025Austin 0–1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 20 October 2024Austin 3–2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
- 16 June 2024Colorado Rapids 2–0 AustinMajor League Soccer
- 1 October 2023Colorado Rapids 1–0 AustinMajor League Soccer
The result against the call
Colorado Rapids beat Austin 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Colorado Rapids at 52%. The goal: Rafael Navarro (penalty) 90+4' for Colorado Rapids. On expected goals it finished 2.99–1.25.