Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Los Angeles Galaxy 0-0 FC Dallas.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Los Angeles Galaxy, 22% draw, 34% FC Dallas — fair odds of 2.27, 4.55 and 2.94.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Los Angeles Galaxy at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 12JT MarcinkowskiG
- 26Harbor MillerD
- 5Jakob GlesnesD
- 4Maya YoshidaD
- 14John NelsonD
- 22Elijah WynderM
- 15Justin HaakM
- 8Lucas SanabriaM
- 28Joseph PaintsilF
- 18Marco ReusF
- 21Robert TaylorF
- 7Kyogo FuruhashiF
- 16Isaiah ParenteM
- 76Troy ElgersmaM
- 1Novak MićovićG
- 3Julián AudeD
- 20Chris RindovD
- 25Carlos GarcésD
- 45Vicente GarciaM
- 90Brett PhanM
- 40Jonathan SiroisG
- 3Osaze UrhoghideD
- 32Nolan NorrisD
- 18Shaq MooreD
- 12Christian CappisM
- 14Herman JohanssonM
- 55KaickM
- 8Patrickson DelgadoM
- 77Bernard KamungoM
- 23Logan FarringtonF
- 9Petar MusaF
- 11Anderson JulioF
- 10Santiago MorenoF
- 25Sebastien IbeaghaD
- 33Clay HolstadM
- 1Michael CollodiG
- 5Lalas AbubakarD
- 21Joaquín ValienteM
- 27Caleb SwannM
- 28Sam SarverF
Form going into Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
All competitions we cover
- D1-1away to San Jose Earthquakes26 July 2026
- L1-3St. Louis City23 July 2026
- L0-3Los Angeles FC18 July 2026
FC Dallas
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to San Diego26 July 2026
- D2-2away to Portland Timbers23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 44 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62 | 51 | +11 | 58 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Los Angeles Galaxy vs FC Dallas
- 19 April 2026FC Dallas 2–2 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 12 October 2025Los Angeles Galaxy 2–1 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- 4 October 2025FC Dallas 2–1 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 14 July 2024FC Dallas 2–0 Los Angeles GalaxyMajor League Soccer
- 30 May 2024Los Angeles Galaxy 3–1 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Los Angeles Galaxy and FC Dallas
Los Angeles Galaxy
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 50 league goals as a side.
FC Dallas
GoalsAssists
- P. Musa225
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Los Angeles Galaxy and FC Dallas drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Los Angeles Galaxy at 44% and given a draw 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 1.16–1.54.