Cremonese vs Padova Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Cremonese 3-1 Padova.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% Cremonese, 27% draw, 21% Padova — fair odds of 1.92, 3.70 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cremonese at 52% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Cremonese vs Padova
Cremonese
- L0-3Modena28 August 2026
- L0-1away to Empoli22 August 2026
Padova
- D1-1Hellas Verona29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Pisa23 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Cremonese | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Padova | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cremonese vs Padova
- 9 February 2019Cremonese 0–0 PadovaSerie B
- 23 September 2018Padova 1–1 CremoneseSerie B
Leading scorers: Cremonese and Padova
Cremonese
- F. Bonazzoli3 goals1 assists
Padova
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.