Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Virtus Entella 2-2 Vicenza Virtus.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Virtus Entella, 28% draw, 27% Vicenza Virtus — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Virtus Entella at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus
Line-ups
- 22F. Del FrateG
- 27M. AlborghettiD
- 6A. TiritielloD
- 15I. MarconiD
- 23L. ParodiM
- 24A. FranzoniM
- 5N. SquizzatoM
- 26S. Di MarioM
- 11B. GuiuM
- 10L. CupponeF
- 32F. ForteF
- 12E. TorrielliG
- 91S. ColombiG
- 16R. TuricchiaM
- 70M. KrittaD
- 3N. PrevitaliD
- 39M. MotoleseD
- 8L. VignaliD
- 80L. BenedettiM
- 55Lucas MartelloM
- 16R. GagnoG
- 14G. CuomoD
- 23N. BrighentiD
- 27T. SandonD
- 28L. CaferriM
- 26G. PellizzariM
- 4M. CarraroM
- 10M. ValotiM
- 32F. CostaM
- 33S. MerkajF
- 11G. MonciniF
- 68E. TantalocchiG
- 5R. MarchizzaD
- 21T. CorazzaD
- 6M. LeverbeD
- 66A. PapettiD
- 8A. BellemoM
- 29L. ZontaM
- 99A. PietrelliM
- 44R. TalaricoM
Form going into Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus
Virtus Entella
All competitions we cover
- L1-2Cesena29 August 2026
- L0-1away to Sudtirol22 August 2026
Vicenza Virtus
All competitions we cover
- L0-3away to Avellino29 August 2026
- W3-2Catanzaro21 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Virtus Entella | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
| 18 | Vicenza Virtus | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus
- 15 February 2023Vicenza Virtus 4–1 Virtus EntellaCoppa Italia Serie C
- 18 January 2023Virtus Entella 1–0 Vicenza VirtusCoppa Italia Serie C
- 1 May 2021Virtus Entella 1–2 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
- 30 December 2020Vicenza Virtus 0–1 Virtus EntellaSerie B
- 28 February 2017Vicenza Virtus 2–2 Virtus EntellaSerie B
- 1 October 2016Virtus Entella 4–1 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
Leading scorers: Virtus Entella and Vicenza Virtus
Virtus Entella
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Vicenza Virtus
GoalsAssists
- S. Merkaj31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Virtus Entella and Vicenza Virtus drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Virtus Entella at 45% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: N. Brighenti 22' for Vicenza Virtus, M. Alborghetti 37' for Virtus Entella, S. Merkaj 75' for Vicenza Virtus, G. Corona 86' for Virtus Entella.
How the call on Virtus Entella v Vicenza Virtus has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 42% / 28% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 45% / 28% / 27%: the biggest move is Virtus Entella's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Virtus Entella win45%▲ +3
- Draw28%=
- Vicenza Virtus win27%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.