CS Hammam-Lif
vs
Olympique Béja
Ligue 1 prediction
Our model says: CS Hammam-Lif 1–0 Olympique Béja
The model makes it 49% CS Hammam-Lif, 27% draw, 24% Olympique Béja — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Expected goals: CS Hammam-Lif 1.65, Olympique Béja 1.01.
Both teams to score: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 50%, under 2.5: 50%.
Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.
Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. CS Hammam-Lif's rating is built from 7 Ligue 1 (Tunisia) matches and Olympique Béja's from 36, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- CS Hammam-Lif are 14th on 5 points from 7 games; Olympique Béja are 15th on 3 points from 7 games — Ligue 1.
- CS Hammam-Lif are unbeaten in 3 games, most recently a 1-1 draw away to AS Marsa.
- Olympique Béja have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 0-0 draw away to Jeunesse Sportive Omrane.
- Last 6 meetings: CS Hammam-Lif 3 wins to 2, 1 draw; the most recent, 8 February 2017, ended Olympique Béja 1–1 CS Hammam-Lif.
More Ligue 1 (Tunisia) predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: CS Hammam-Lif vs Olympique Béja
Has the model earned this number?
CS Hammam-Lif at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into CS Hammam-Lif vs Olympique Béja
CS Hammam-Lif
Ligue 1
- D1-1away to AS Marsa23 October 2026
- D1-1Jeunesse Sportive Omrane18 October 2026
- W1-0away to ES Sahel11 October 2026
- L0-1away to US Ben Guerdane20 September 2026
- L0-1ES Tunis13 September 2026
Olympique Béja
Ligue 1
- D0-0away to Jeunesse Sportive Omrane23 October 2026
- L1-2ES Sahel18 October 2026
- L1-3away to ES Tunis10 October 2026
- D1-1Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer13 September 2026
- D1-1away to CA Bizertin5 September 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 5 matches for CS Hammam-Lif had two goals or fewer.
- CS Hammam-Lif failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- CS Hammam-Lif conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Olympique Béja did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Olympique Béja scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Olympique Béja conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Tunisia Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | CS Hammam-Lif | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Olympique Béja | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
CS Hammam-Lif
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 26% today
Olympique Béja
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 67% today
From our Ligue 1 season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: CS Hammam-Lif vs Olympique Béja
- 8 February 2017Olympique Béja 1–1 CS Hammam-LifLigue 1
- 29 October 2016CS Hammam-Lif 1–0 Olympique BéjaLigue 1
- 16 February 2014Olympique Béja 1–0 CS Hammam-LifLigue 1
- 3 November 2013CS Hammam-Lif 2–1 Olympique BéjaLigue 1
- 12 May 2012CS Hammam-Lif 2–1 Olympique BéjaLigue 1
- 27 November 2011Olympique Béja 2–0 CS Hammam-LifLigue 1
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives CS Hammam-Lif the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.65 expected goals for CS Hammam-Lif against 1.01 for Olympique Béja. CS Hammam-Lif's attack/defence rating is 0.47/1.64 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.51/2.16 for Olympique Béja.
How the model reaches 49% for CS Hammam-Lif to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for CS Hammam-Lif to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, CS Hammam-Lif's ratings add 2 points and Olympique Béja's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 49%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage44%+8
- Both sides at this match's level43%−1
- CS Hammam-Lif's ratings45%+2
- Olympique Béja's ratings49%+4
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
CS Hammam-Lif at home · Olympique Béja away
League matches only, Ligue 1, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Ligue 1 matches this season: CS Hammam-Lif 7, Olympique Béja 7.
Olympique Béja score most often in the 31–45 minute window (3 goals); CS Hammam-Lif have let in 1 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
CS Hammam-Lif
- at CS Sfaxien5 Dec · Ligue 1win 15%
- vs US Monastirienne12 Dec · Ligue 1win 33%
- at Club Africain19 Dec · Ligue 1win 17%
- vs ES Hammam-Sousse26 Dec · Ligue 1win 56%
Olympique Béja
- vs ES Metlaoui5 Dec · Ligue 1win 44%
- vs CS Sfaxien12 Dec · Ligue 1win 22%
- at US Monastirienne19 Dec · Ligue 1win 17%
- vs Club Africain26 Dec · Ligue 1win 24%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.