29 October 2026, 13:30 UTC

CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis Ligue 1 prediction & result

Sfax
Full time0 – 0

Final score: CS Sfaxien 0-0 ES Tunis.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% CS Sfaxien, 24% draw, 24% ES Tunis — fair odds of 1.92, 4.17 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

CS Sfaxien at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

CS Sfaxien6%Draw91%ES Tunis3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

M. S. Mhadhebi
36'
🔁E. Ogboleout: T. Mutyaba
46'
🔁L. Trayiout: W. Dhouib
46'
53'
🔁M. Belhadjout: Y. Belaili
60'
🔁H. Rafiaout: M. Haj Ali
🔁M. S. Mhadhebiout: Y. Habchia
60'
66'
J. Castillo
78'
🔁I. Farajout: F. Monyebe
78'
🔁H. Mastouriout: A. Jabri
A. Maaloul
84'
86'
R. Chikhaoui

Line-ups

CS Sfaxien
  • 30A. Dahmen
  • 10A. Maaloul
  • 15K. Mondeko Zatu
  • 17M. S. Mhadhebi
  • 24H. Mathlouthi
  • 14J. Mbe
  • 19L. Trayi
  • 33M. Trabelsi
  • 9J. Loulendo
  • 11I. Belwafi
  • 18E. Ogbole
Substitutes
  • 22A. Hallaoui
  • 3M. A. Ben Ali
  • 4Y. Habchia
  • 6M. Absi
  • 7G. Sghaier
  • 12T. Mutyaba
  • 32H. Ouedraogo
  • 20W. Dhouib
  • 35B. N. Mohamed Amine
Coach: Mohamed Kouki
ES Tunis
  • 32B. Ben Said
  • 6H. Jelassi
  • 12N. Laifi
  • 25R. Chikhaoui
  • 8H. Rafia
  • 10Lucas Ribeiro
  • 13M. Drager
  • 16J. Castillo
  • 20M. Belhadj
  • 7I. Faraj
  • 27H. Mastouri
Substitutes
  • 1A. Memmiche
  • 3E. Fernandez
  • 28A. Alilet
  • 11Y. Belaili
  • 18M. Haj Ali
  • 19A. Jabri
  • 24Y. Becha
  • 29F. Monyebe
  • 31C. Jebali
Coach: Pablo Franco

Form going into CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis

CS Sfaxien

Ligue 1

  • L0-1away to Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer10 October 2026
  • W2-0CA Bizertin20 September 2026
  • D1-1away to US Ben Guerdane16 September 2026

ES Tunis

Ligue 1

  • W3-1Olympique Béja10 October 2026
  • W1-0away to CS Hammam-Lif13 September 2026
  • W2-1AS Marsa6 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Tunisia Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8CS Sfaxien724175+210
2ES Tunis7511117+416

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: CS Sfaxien vs ES Tunis

  • 30 April 2026ES Tunis 0–0 CS SfaxienLigue 1
  • 2 November 2025CS Sfaxien 1–2 ES TunisLigue 1
  • 3 May 2025ES Tunis 1–0 CS SfaxienLigue 1
  • 29 December 2024CS Sfaxien 0–1 ES TunisLigue 1
  • 20 June 2024CS Sfaxien 0–0 ES TunisLigue 1

The result against the call

CS Sfaxien and ES Tunis drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for CS Sfaxien at 52% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave CS Sfaxien a 43.2% chance to finish in the top two: 52.2% after a win, 35.0% after a draw, 24.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 35.0%, 8.2 points lower than before the match.

For ES Tunis the question was the chance to finish in the top two, 40.2% going in: 58.1% after a win, 44.0% after a draw, 31.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 44.0%, 3.8 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 1 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on CS Sfaxien v ES Tunis has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 49% / 26% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 52% / 24% / 24%: the biggest move is CS Sfaxien's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. CS Sfaxien win52%▲ +3
  2. Draw24%▼ −2
  3. ES Tunis win24%▼ −1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.