Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Daejeon Citizen 3-0 Gangwon FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Daejeon Citizen, 22% draw, 41% Gangwon FC — fair odds of 2.70, 4.55 and 2.44. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gangwon FC at 41% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC
Daejeon Citizen
- L2-4away to FC Seoul15 August 2026
- W2-1away to FC Anyang8 August 2026
Gangwon FC
- W3-2away to Ulsan Hyundai FC16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Daejeon Citizen | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 36 | +9 | 39 |
| 5 | Gangwon FC | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 36 | 27 | +9 | 42 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon FC
- 12 May 2026Gangwon FC 2–0 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 12 April 2026Daejeon Citizen 0–2 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 22 November 2025Daejeon Citizen 1–1 Gangwon FCK League 1
- 27 September 2025Gangwon FC 0–0 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 19 July 2025Gangwon FC 2–2 Daejeon CitizenK League 1
- 27 April 2025Daejeon Citizen 1–0 Gangwon FCK League 1
Leading scorers: Daejeon Citizen and Gangwon FC
Daejeon Citizen
- Jeong Jae-Hee4 goals1 assists
- M. Ishida3 goals1 assists
Gangwon FC
- A. Halaihal4 goals
- Mo Jae-Hyeon3 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.