Gwangju FC vs Incheon United K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Gwangju FC 0-1 Incheon United.
Before kick-off the model made it 13% Gwangju FC, 17% draw, 70% Incheon United — fair odds of 7.69, 5.88 and 1.43. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Incheon United at 70% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Gwangju FC vs Incheon United
Gwangju FC
- L1-2Pohang Steelers15 August 2026
- D0-0away to Bucheon FC 19958 August 2026
Incheon United
- D1-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 29 | 1 | 11 | 17 | 19 | 61 | -42 | 14 |
| 7 | Incheon United | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 32 | +3 | 37 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gwangju FC vs Incheon United
- 16 May 2026Incheon United 4–0 Gwangju FCK League 1
- 7 March 2026Gwangju FC 3–2 Incheon UnitedK League 1
- 27 October 2024Incheon United 1–0 Gwangju FCK League 1
- 14 July 2024Gwangju FC 0–2 Incheon UnitedK League 1
- 25 May 2024Incheon United 1–1 Gwangju FCK League 1
- 3 April 2024Gwangju FC 2–3 Incheon UnitedK League 1
Leading scorers: Gwangju FC and Incheon United
Gwangju FC
No player in K League 1's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.
Incheon United
- S. Mugoša9 goals
- M. Ferrier4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.