Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye Super League prediction & result
Final score: Shenyang Urban 4-4 Henan Jianye.
Before kick-off the model made it 67% Shenyang Urban, 19% draw, 14% Henan Jianye — fair odds of 1.49, 5.26 and 7.14. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Shenyang Urban at 67% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye
Shenyang Urban
- L1-2Sichuan Jiuniu15 August 2026
Henan Jianye
- L1-4away to Shanghai Shenhua15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 25 |
| 12 | Henan Jianye | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 27 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Shenyang Urban vs Henan Jianye
- 1 May 2026Henan Jianye 4–0 Shenyang UrbanSuper League
Leading scorers: Shenyang Urban and Henan Jianye
Shenyang Urban
- Jeffinho10 goals2 assists
- G. Mbenza9 goals1 assists
Henan Jianye
- Gustavo13 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.