Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Vasteras SK FK 0-1 Sirius.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Vasteras SK FK, 25% draw, 22% Sirius — fair odds of 1.89, 4.00 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Vasteras SK FK at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius
Line-ups
- 34E. JägerG
- 24J. TagessonD
- 4P. BondeD
- 2H. MagnussonD
- 11S. GefvertM
- 30M. HellisdalM
- 8M. DiagneM
- 15J. KarlssonM
- 19J. MagnussonF
- 16Bonaventure LendambiF
- 17A. TaonsaF
- 7A. BoudahF
- 23P. AmoranD
- 22L. BarkD
- 1A. FagerströmG
- 5K. GunnarssonM
- 20M. LjungqvistD
- 14I. LushakuM
- 9C. RisbjergF
- 21V. WernerssonD
- 34D. CelicG
- 5H. CastegrenD
- 15S. SandbergD
- 4T. AnkerD
- 22O. KrusnellD
- 10M. HeierM
- 6M. LindbergM
- 30Z. VancsaM
- 24V. SvenssonM
- 11I. BjerkeboM
- 9J. UnekenF
- 29Ake AnderssonF
- 1I. DiawaraG
- 20V. EkströmD
- 17N. JönssonF
- 16O. LiimattaM
- 27B. MagnussonD
- 21C. NildénM
- 7J. PerssonF
- 25O. AdinduF
Form going into Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius
Vasteras SK FK
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to BK Hacken29 August 2026
- D0-0Kalmar FF23 August 2026
- L0-3away to IF Elfsborg14 August 2026
- W1-0Djurgardens IF10 August 2026
- L0-6away to Djurgardens IF3 August 2026
Sirius
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Malmo FF31 August 2026
- L0-3BK Hacken21 August 2026
- L3-4away to Mjallby AIF15 August 2026
- D2-2IF Brommapojkarna10 August 2026
- W2-0away to Halmstad3 August 2026
What these results say
- Sirius failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Sirius conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Vasteras SK FK | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 38 | +2 | 45 |
| 2 | Sirius | 28 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 58 | 35 | +23 | 58 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vasteras SK FK vs Sirius
- 18 April 2026Sirius 4–1 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
- 31 August 2024Vasteras SK FK 1–2 SiriusAllsvenskan
- 20 May 2024Sirius 0–0 Vasteras SK FKAllsvenskan
- 3 February 2024Sirius 1–3 Vasteras SK FKFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Vasteras SK FK and Sirius
Vasteras SK FK
GoalsAssists
- A. Taonsa102
- M. Ladefoged92
Sirius
GoalsAssists
- I. Bjerkebo157
- R. Ure152
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sirius won 1–0 at Vasteras SK FK. The model had leaned towards a win for Vasteras SK FK at 53% and given a win for Sirius 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goal: Jesper Uneken 51' for Sirius.
How the call on Vasteras SK FK v Sirius has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 50% / 26% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 53% / 25% / 22%: the biggest move is Vasteras SK FK's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- Vasteras SK FK win53%▲ +3
- Draw25%▼ −1
- Sirius win22%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.