3 October 2026, 14:30 UTC

FC OSS vs MVV Eerste Divisie prediction & result

Frans Heesen Stadion, Os
Full time4 – 1

Final score: FC OSS 4-1 MVV.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% FC OSS, 31% draw, 26% MVV — fair odds of 2.33, 3.23 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC OSS at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC OSS99%Draw1%MVV0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

27'
⚽Toni Vinogradacassist: Robert Klaasen
⚽Mauresmo Hinokeassist: Justin Mathieu
39'
⚽Mauresmo Hinokeassist: Justin Mathieu
51'
⚽Mauresmo Hinokeassist: Franslyn Nsingi
53'
🔁Mauresmo Hinokeout: Maurilio de Lannoy
60'
68'
🔁Delano Asanteout: Yael Liesdek
68'
🔁Robert Klaasenout: Mika Luijendijk
68'
🔁Noa El Hamdaouiout: Onesime Zimuangana
🔁Franslyn Nsingiout: Andy Visser
70'
🔁K. Lubranoout: Jacey Pansa
70'
🔁Justin Mathieuout: Jafar Bynoe
70'
⚽Maurilio de Lannoyassist: Jacey Pansa
76'
🔁Richard van der Venneout: Lars Mol
79'

Match stats — FC OSS vs MVV

32%Possession68%
9Shots13
7On target3
3Corners7

Line-ups

FC OSS 4-3-3
  • 1M. HavekotteG
  • 2I. PataD
  • 3L. MiguelD
  • 23D. VianelloD
  • 26Julian KuijpersD
  • 11J. MathieuM
  • 10R. van der VenneM
  • 8M. EsajasM
  • 18K. LubranoF
  • 19F. NsingiF
  • 17M. HinokeF
Substitutes
  • 6M. HoremansM
  • 30S. JansenG
  • 21Thomas CoxD
  • 4Q. JansenD
  • 24Jay KuiperD
  • 28L. MolM
  • 25J. PansaF
  • 16D. RemieG
  • 9Andy VisserF
Coach: S. Ultee
MVV 4-2-3-1
  • 1H. WentgesG
  • 21D. AsanteD
  • 6F. DickeD
  • 22Sven BoulandD
  • 17S. WegenD
  • 18E. SierraM
  • 16R. KlaasenM
  • 24N. El HamdaouiM
  • 10O. DumontM
  • 7L. DaneelsM
  • 9T. VinogradacF
Substitutes
  • 11T. VerheijenF
  • 12S. van der HeijdenG
  • 27Naïm MatougF
  • 25Yael LiesdekD
  • 14M. KuipersF
  • 29O. ZimuanganaF
  • 13S. TimmersG
  • 19Mika LuijendijkM
  • 31Yanis BourardM
Coach: A. Jonker

Eerste Divisie table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14FC OSS155282224-217
8MVV146261929-1020

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC OSS vs MVV

  • 24 April 2026MVV 0–2 FC OSSEerste Divisie
  • 8 August 2025FC OSS 4–0 MVVEerste Divisie
  • 10 January 2025FC OSS 1–0 MVVEerste Divisie
  • 27 September 2024MVV 2–2 FC OSSEerste Divisie

Leading scorers: FC OSS and MVV

FC OSS

GoalsAssists

  • M. Hinoke60

MVV

GoalsAssists

  • O. Dumont51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC OSS beat MVV 4–1. The model had made a win for FC OSS its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Toni Vinogradac 27' for MVV, Mauresmo Hinoke 39' for FC OSS, Mauresmo Hinoke 51' for FC OSS, Mauresmo Hinoke 53' for FC OSS, Maurilio de Lannoy 76' for FC OSS.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.