Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan Botola Pro prediction & result
Final score: Difaa EL Jadida 4-1 Moghreb Tetouan.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Difaa EL Jadida, 30% draw, 36% Moghreb Tetouan — fair odds of 2.94, 3.33 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Moghreb Tetouan at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan
Line-ups
- 16A. Ait WahmaneG
- 5reda chgraoui echF
- 4A. MoulhamiD
- 20Boulkassoum diarraD
- 88Y. MichteM
- 70MegueM
- 8ayoub khafi elM
- 6B. El Idrissi BouzidiM
- 10M. MouchtanimM
- 17A. EnnakoussF
- 77Ibra Lo
- 55Abdellah FarahF
- 24Z. OubraimD
- 21M. HilaliM
- 12A. Mostakime
- 31Yassine LhjaleD
- 99A. IdrissiF
- 61H. AzimiG
- 33Israel UsulorD
- 15Y. El OuatkiM
- 25Zakaria BenabbouG
- 2Achraf marzakD
- 4Soulaimane driouacheD
- 27Issam BouabsidiD
- 5M. KarmounM
- 26Hicham ZeghariM
- 29Wissam ErbatiM
- 31Nadir El FadiliF
- 15eddine diae eddaoudiM
- 19Mohamed kassouF
- 11Anouar oussarhanF
- 36Mohamed fakih elM
- 21Yassin CrachnaM
- 37Ayman AzzouziM
- 12Yassine AmaadourG
- 3Yassine AboursasD
- 6Y. KarrazD
- 18A. ZerriM
- 17Mustapha El CrachnaM
Form going into Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan
Difaa EL Jadida
Botola Pro
- W5-2away to Amal Tiznit10 October 2026
Moghreb Tetouan
Botola Pro
- D0-0FUS Rabat9 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Botola Pro table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Difaa EL Jadida | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Moghreb Tetouan | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 3 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Difaa EL Jadida vs Moghreb Tetouan
- 22 February 2025Moghreb Tetouan 1–3 Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
- 22 October 2024Difaa EL Jadida 1–0 Moghreb TetouanBotola Pro
- 3 April 2023Difaa EL Jadida 0–0 Moghreb TetouanBotola Pro
- 15 October 2022Moghreb Tetouan 1–1 Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
- 18 May 2021Difaa EL Jadida 2–2 Moghreb TetouanBotola Pro
- 13 December 2020Moghreb Tetouan 2–2 Difaa EL JadidaBotola Pro
The result against the call
Difaa EL Jadida beat Moghreb Tetouan 4–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Moghreb Tetouan at 36% and given a win for Difaa EL Jadida 34%. The goals: Abderrazak Ennakouss 13' for Difaa EL Jadida, Mohamed kassou 45+2' for Moghreb Tetouan, Ibra Lo 65' for Difaa EL Jadida, Anass Mostakime 76' for Difaa EL Jadida, Abdellah Farah 88' for Difaa EL Jadida.
How the call on Difaa EL Jadida v Moghreb Tetouan has moved
First published on 5 Oct at 30% / 31% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 34% / 30% / 36%: the biggest move is Difaa EL Jadida's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Difaa EL Jadida win34%▲ +4
- Draw30%▼ −1
- Moghreb Tetouan win36%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.