17 October 2026, 10:00 UTC

FC Isloch Minsk R. vs FC Minsk Premier League prediction & result

SOK Olympijskij, Minsk
Full time4 – 2

Final score: FC Isloch Minsk R. 4-2 FC Minsk.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% FC Isloch Minsk R., 26% draw, 19% FC Minsk — fair odds of 1.82, 3.85 and 5.26.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Isloch Minsk R. at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽llya Sviridenko (OG)
8'
⚽Adeola Junior Adeyemi Olaleyeassist: Pavel Shevchenko
12'
25'
⚽Matar Dieyeassist: Ilya Dubinets
27'
artem turich
54'
llya Sviridenko
61'
⚽Matar Dieye
68'
🔁Aleksandr Ksenofontovout: Gleb·Zherder
68'
🔁Vladislav Yatskevichout: V. Dikhtievsky
68'
🔁Ilya Dubinetsout: Felix Christanval Abena
⚽Maksim Kovalevich
70'
🔁Anton Shramchenkoout: aleksandr butko
71'
Ilya Skrobotov
73'
77'
🔁Honore Gomisout: Egor Zubovich
77'
🔁Matar Dieyeout: Aleksandr Makas
⚽aleksandr butko
81'
🔁Aleksandr Svirepaout: sergi abramishvili
89'

Match stats — FC Isloch Minsk R. vs FC Minsk

52%Possession48%
14Shots6
5On target4
7Corners4

Line-ups

FC Isloch Minsk R. 3-4-3
  • 1A. KlimovichG
  • 25A. MakarenkoD
  • 3I. TikhomirovD
  • 33I. SkrobotovD
  • 15N. PatskoM
  • 7A. SvirepaM
  • 5S. VolkovM
  • 22P. ShevchenkoM
  • 23M. KovalevichF
  • 19Adeola OlaleyeF
  • 8A. ShramchenkoF
Substitutes
  • 13G. StephenD
  • 70A. ButkoF
  • 18M. DayyabuD
  • 88Nikita FadeevM
  • 17S. AbramishviliM
  • 10V. KhvashchinskiyF
  • 11T. MartynovF
  • 74M. SachkovskiyM
  • 32Timofey ShkurdyukM
Coach: D. Komarovskiy
FC Minsk 3-4-3
  • 30A. GutorG
  • 79I. SviridenkoD
  • 4R. KhadarkevichD
  • 3A. SokolD
  • 19K. KuchinskiyM
  • 23A. TurichM
  • 29I. DubinetsM
  • 15V. YatskevichM
  • 7H. GomisF
  • 9M. DieyeF
  • 80A. KsenofontovF
Substitutes
  • 6F. AbenaM
  • 66Francisco CamposD
  • 2V. DikhtievskiyD
  • 16M. GerashchenkoG
  • 22A. MakasF
  • 24S. MatusevichM
  • 8A. MigdalenokM
  • 20P. SheremetD
  • 10G. ZherdevM
Coach: A. Chelyadinskiy

Form going into FC Isloch Minsk R. vs FC Minsk

FC Isloch Minsk R.

All competitions we cover

  • D0-0away to FC Vitebsk11 October 2026

FC Minsk

Premier League

  • L0-1Torpedo Zhodino10 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Belarus Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2FC Isloch Minsk R.2818735423+3161
9FC Minsk28105133542-735

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Isloch Minsk R. vs FC Minsk

  • 29 May 2026FC Minsk 1–1 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
  • 17 August 2025FC Minsk 0–1 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League
  • 6 April 2025FC Isloch Minsk R. 1–1 FC MinskPremier League
  • 25 January 2025FC Isloch Minsk R. 1–0 FC MinskFriendlies Clubs
  • 20 October 2024FC Minsk 3–2 FC Isloch Minsk R.Premier League

Leading scorers: FC Isloch Minsk R. and FC Minsk

FC Isloch Minsk R.

No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 54 league goals as a side.

FC Minsk

GoalsAssists

  • A. Sokol10

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Isloch Minsk R. beat FC Minsk 4–2. The model had made a win for FC Isloch Minsk R. its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: llya Sviridenko (own goal) 8' for FC Isloch Minsk R., Adeola Junior Adeyemi Olaleye 12' for FC Isloch Minsk R., Matar Dieye 25' for FC Minsk, Matar Dieye 61' for FC Minsk, Maksim Kovalevich 70' for FC Isloch Minsk R., aleksandr butko 81' for FC Isloch Minsk R..

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FC Isloch Minsk R. a 9.0% chance to finish top of the regular season: 11.7% after a win, 4.4% after a draw, 2.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 11.7%, 2.7 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on FC Isloch Minsk R. v FC Minsk has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 50% / 27% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 55% / 26% / 19%: the biggest move is FC Isloch Minsk R.'s chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. FC Isloch Minsk R. win55%▲ +5
  2. Draw26%▼ −1
  3. FC Minsk win19%▼ −4

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.