Dila vs Gagra Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Dila 1-0 Gagra.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Dila, 24% draw, 22% Gagra — fair odds of 1.85, 4.17 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Dila at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dila vs Gagra
Line-ups
- 1D. KereselidzeG
- 2T. KikabidzeD
- 13Joao AraujoD
- 5M. PoeketieD
- 16M. SanyangF
- 15G. KobakhidzeM
- 17B. AnoffM
- 24M. DioufD
- 10O. ParulavaM
- 22S. ShekiladzeF
- 9M. KanteF
- 12L. SanikidzeG
- 8L. MenteshashviliM
- 11K. GrabovskisF
- 14G. JalaghoniaD
- 19B. GogoberishviliM
- 21Z. MuselianiF
- 25L. YarbroughD
- 33R. EtouD
- 1O. VorobeyG
- 40ClaudineiD
- 14Z. TchavtchanidzeD
- 2AugustoD
- 4V. ArsicD
- 33L. GurchianiM
- 21A. Peikrishvili
- 25WandersonM
- 18V. BliznichenkoF
- 9D. MujiriF
- 30G. GoshtelianiF
- 35A. Dmitrievich
- 3O. ChochiaD
- 5Y. NazarovD
- 6M. TsintsadzeM
- 8I. SkrypnykM
- 11S. ZoidzeF
- 19G. KhachidzeF
- 23A. AndreychukF
- 29R. AdeyeyeF
Form going into Dila vs Gagra
Dila
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Dinamo Tbilisi31 August 2026
- L0-3away to Apollon Limassol28 July 2026
- L0-4Apollon Limassol23 July 2026
Gagra
All competitions we cover
- W2-0FC Iberia 199931 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Dila | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 40 |
| 9 | Gagra | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 28 | 46 | -18 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Dila beat Gagra 1–0. The model had made a win for Dila its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: L. Menteshashvili 72' for Dila.
How the call on Dila v Gagra has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 52% / 25% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 54% / 24% / 22%: the biggest move is Dila's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Dila win54%▲ +2
- Draw24%▼ −1
- Gagra win22%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.