Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi Erovnuli Liga prediction & result
Final score: Torpedo Kutaisi 1-1 Dinamo Tbilisi.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Torpedo Kutaisi, 27% draw, 31% Dinamo Tbilisi — fair odds of 2.38, 3.70 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Torpedo Kutaisi at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Line-ups
- 1O. GoshadzeG
- 15L. KupravaD
- 4M. SimicD
- 22D. BukiaD
- 5T. NadaraiaD
- 11G. ArabidzeM
- 7V. MamuchashviliM
- 17N. LominadzeM
- 14Felipe PiresF
- 35D. DeisadzeM
- 9K. AndricF
- 31F. KljajicG
- 8M. ItrakM
- 19D. PertaiaM
- 20D. SkorupM
- 24L. LatsabidzeD
- 25G. GergedavaM
- N. Khatoyan
- 29M. ChitaishviliM
- 33M. StamatovD
- 20L. FloresG
- 17P. PsaltisD
- 27N. KurdicD
- 13M. PourzitidisD
- 4N. UgrekhelidzeM
- 24B. OseiM
- 23J. KankavaM
- 8WeltonM
- 6Leo SantosD
- 11M. VatsadzeF
- 14M. Do CoutoF
- 37M. MakatsariaG
- 7K. DoltmurzievF
- 26G. GoguaM
- 30G. Lomidze
- 32L. TsikoliaM
- 33L. HouriM
- 34M. GbomaduF
- 39K. KakashviliM
Form going into Torpedo Kutaisi vs Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Meshakhte31 August 2026
Dinamo Tbilisi
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Dila31 August 2026
- L2-7away to FK Zalgiris Vilnius30 July 2026
- W3-0FK Zalgiris Vilnius23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Erovnuli Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 53 | 44 | +9 | 43 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 32 | +20 | 58 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Tbilisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
GoalsAssists
- K. Andrić82
- G. Arabidze58
- Felipe Pires30
Dinamo Tbilisi
GoalsAssists
- Rodrigo Silva Ramos22
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Torpedo Kutaisi and Dinamo Tbilisi drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Torpedo Kutaisi at 42% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Felipe Pires 58' for Torpedo Kutaisi, K. Doltmurziev 71' for Dinamo Tbilisi.
How the call on Torpedo Kutaisi v Dinamo Tbilisi has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 40% / 29% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 42% / 27% / 31%: the biggest move is Torpedo Kutaisi's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Torpedo Kutaisi win42%▲ +2
- Draw27%▼ −2
- Dinamo Tbilisi win31%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.