5 September 2026, 10:00 UTC

FC Seoul vs Incheon United K League 1 prediction & result

Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
Full time1 – 0

Final score: FC Seoul 1-0 Incheon United.

Before kick-off the model made it 53% FC Seoul, 25% draw, 22% Incheon United — fair odds of 1.89, 4.00 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Seoul at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

3'
Kim Gun-hee
11'
🔁Lee Dong-Ryulout: Park Kyung-sub
🔁Park Seong-hunout: Lee Han-Do
46'
🔁J. Sonout: Moon Seon-Min
46'
46'
🔁Jeong Chi-Inout: Gerso
57'
🔁S. Mugosaout: Kim Seong-Min
⚽Lee Ju-Yong (OG)
61'
69'
🔁Seo Jae-Minout: Kim Young-whan
69'
🔁Lee Chung-Yongout: M. Ferrier
🔁P. Klimalaout: L. Ruiz
72'
🔁Lee Seung-Moout: Hwang Do-Yun
79'
89'
Gerso Fernandes

Match stats — FC Seoul vs Incheon United

66%Possession34%
16Shots5
7On target1
4Corners4

Line-ups

FC Seoul 4-4-2
  • 25Gu Sung-YunG
  • 16Choi JunD
  • 40Park Seong-hunD
  • 37J. RosD
  • 22Kim Jin-SuD
  • 7Jeong Seung-WonM
  • 8Lee Seung-MoM
  • 6H. BabecM
  • 10Anderson OliveiraM
  • 42J. SonF
  • 9P. KlimalaF
Substitutes
  • 31Kang Hyeon-MuG
  • 17Ahn Jae-minD
  • 20Lee Han-DoD
  • 66Park Soo-IlD
  • 41Hwang Do-YunM
  • 88Park Jang Han-GyeolM
  • 27Moon Seon-MinF
  • 11L. RuizF
  • 19Cheon Seong-HoonF
Coach: Gi-Dong Kim
Incheon United 4-4-2
  • 1Kim Dong-HeonG
  • 39Kim Myung-soonD
  • 4Kim Gun-HeeD
  • 2IbizaD
  • 32Lee Ju-YongD
  • 10Lee Dong-RyulM
  • 15Seo Jae-MinM
  • 26Lee Min-HyukM
  • 23Jeong Chi-InM
  • 72Lee Chung-YongF
  • 9S. MugosaF
Substitutes
  • 21Lee Tae-HuiG
  • 13Choi Seung-guD
  • 20Park Kyung-subD
  • 11GersoF
  • 17Kim Seong-MinM
  • 30Kim Young-whanM
  • 70Leandro RibeiroF
  • 88Jung Won-JinM
  • 99M. FerrierF
Coach: Jong-Hwan Yoon

Form going into FC Seoul vs Incheon United

FC Seoul

All competitions we cover

  • W5-2away to Gwangju FC30 August 2026
  • W1-0Bucheon FC 199525 August 2026
  • W7-0away to FC Anyang22 August 2026
  • W4-2Daejeon Citizen15 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Gimcheon Sangmu FC8 August 2026

Incheon United

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Jeonbuk Motors30 August 2026
  • L1-2away to FC Anyang26 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Gwangju FC23 August 2026
  • D1-1Gimcheon Sangmu FC16 August 2026

What these results say

  • FC Seoul went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • FC Seoul won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FC Seoul scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Incheon United scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Incheon United failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Incheon United conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1FC Seoul3520786232+3067
6Incheon United351310124437+749

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: FC Seoul and Incheon United

FC Seoul

GoalsAssists

  • P. Klimala80

Incheon United

GoalsAssists

  • S. Mugoša111
  • M. Ferrier51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Seoul beat Incheon United 1–0. The model had made a win for FC Seoul its most likely outcome, at 53%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Lee Ju-Yong (own goal) 61' for FC Seoul. Sent off: Kim Gun-hee (Incheon United) 3'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.