FC Seoul vs Incheon United K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: FC Seoul 1-0 Incheon United.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% FC Seoul, 25% draw, 22% Incheon United — fair odds of 1.89, 4.00 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Seoul at 53% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FC Seoul vs Incheon United
FC Seoul
- W5-2away to Gwangju FC30 August 2026
- W1-0Bucheon FC 199525 August 2026
Incheon United
- D1-1Jeonbuk Motors30 August 2026
- L1-2away to FC Anyang26 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 55 | 23 | +32 | 62 |
| 7 | Incheon United | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 32 | +3 | 37 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: FC Seoul and Incheon United
FC Seoul
- P. Klimala4 goals
- Lee Seung-Mo3 goals1 assists
Incheon United
- S. Mugoša9 goals
- M. Ferrier4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.