Djurgardens IF vs AIK Stockholm Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Djurgardens IF 1-3 AIK Stockholm.
Before kick-off the model made it 71% Djurgardens IF, 17% draw, 12% AIK Stockholm — fair odds of 1.41, 5.88 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Djurgardens IF at 71% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Djurgardens IF vs AIK Stockholm
Line-ups
- 35Jacob RinneG
- 18Adam StahlD
- 21Mikael MarquésD
- 4Jacob Une LarssonD
- 24Max LarssonD
- 20Matias SiltanenM
- 14Hampus FinndellM
- 8Patric ÅslundM
- 16Bo Åsulv HeglandM
- 11Oskar FalleniusM
- 9Kristian Stromland LienF
- 19Jeppe OkkelsF
- 2Piotr JohanssonD
- 23Nino ŽugeljF
- 13Daniel StenssonM
- 27Sander Finjord RingbergF
- 30Lukas JonssonG
- 25Daryl Tschoumy-NanaD
- 7Christos AlmyrasM
- 29Alexander JohanssonM
- 15Kristoffer NordfeldtG
- 19Dino BeširovićD
- 34Wilmer OlofssonD
- 3Herve MatthysD
- 8Johan HoveM
- 46Yannick GeigerM
- 18Abdihakin AliM
- 22Adrian HelmM
- 9Linus CarlstrandF
- 16Sixten GustafssonF
- 29Kevin FillingF
- 33Diogo TomasD
- 5Lukas BergquistD
- 28Linus JäretegM
- 11Victor AnderssonM
- 30Kalle JoelssonG
- 47Ladji CamaraD
- 44David MalkiM
- 43Nikolaj StaykovF
- 41Mohammed ShillaM
Form going into Djurgardens IF vs AIK Stockholm
Djurgardens IF
- L0-1away to Vasteras SK FK10 August 2026
- W6-0Vasteras SK FK3 August 2026
- W1-0away to Degerfors IF25 July 2026
- D0-0away to Orgryte IS20 July 2026
AIK Stockholm
- W4-3away to Orgryte IS8 August 2026
- L0-3Orgryte IS2 August 2026
- D0-0away to BK Hacken27 July 2026
- W2-0Gais18 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Djurgardens IF | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 46 | 19 | +27 | 41 |
| 7 | AIK Stockholm | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Djurgardens IF vs AIK Stockholm
- 16 August 2026Djurgardens IF 1–3 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
- 10 May 2026AIK Stockholm 2–4 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
- 10 August 2025AIK Stockholm 0–0 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
- 4 May 2025Djurgardens IF 1–1 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
- 18 August 2024Djurgardens IF 0–2 AIK StockholmAllsvenskan
- 21 April 2024AIK Stockholm 2–0 Djurgardens IFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Djurgardens IF and AIK Stockholm
Djurgardens IF
- K. Lien15 goals4 assists
- Bo Åsulv Hegland8 goals14 assists
- P. Åslund6 goals1 assists
AIK Stockholm
No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 30 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.