SK Beveren vs Anderlecht Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: SK Beveren 1-0 Anderlecht.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% SK Beveren, 21% draw, 27% Anderlecht — fair odds of 1.92, 4.76 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts SK Beveren at 52% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SK Beveren vs Anderlecht
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Johannes SchenkG
- 21Laurent JansD
- 35Yoni GomisD
- 31Bruno GodeauD
- 4Christophe JanssensD
- 18Sieben DewaeleM
- 8Ferre SlegersM
- 34Kurt AbrahamsM
- 22Christian BrülsM
- 5Chris LokesaM
- 92Lennart MertensF
- 44Cheick Oumar CondéM
- 2Dominic ThompsonD
- 10Guillaume De SchryverM
- 6Dante RigoM
- 9Moise KaboréF
- 84Josua Lusamba TshiololaG
- 26Noah Mawete KinsionaD
- 17Jearl MargarithaF
- 14Léandre KuavitaM
- 26Colin CoosemansG
- 79Ali MaamarD
- 4Giulian BianconeD
- 27Léo PétrotD
- 6Ludwig AugustinssonD
- 13Nathan-Dylan SalibaM
- 24Enric LlansanaM
- 83Tristan DegreefM
- 18Lukáš AmbrosF
- 14Danylo SikanF
- 11Oliver AntmanF
- 9Mihajlo CvetkovićF
- 5Moussa NdiayeD
- 61Joshua Nga KanaM
- 55Marco KanaM
- 91Adriano BertacciniF
- 33Mattis SeghersG
- 32Justin HeekerenG
- 2Zoumana KeitaD
- 62Basile VroninksD
Form going into SK Beveren vs Anderlecht
SK Beveren
- L1-2away to Antwerp9 August 2026
Anderlecht
- W3-2PAOK13 August 2026
- W2-1RAAL La Louvière9 August 2026
- W1-0away to PAOK6 August 2026
- W3-1Hammarby FF30 July 2026
- D1-1away to Hammarby FF23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SK Beveren | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Anderlecht | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SK Beveren vs Anderlecht
- 16 August 2026SK Beveren 1–0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 22 January 2021Anderlecht 0–0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
- 19 September 2020SK Beveren 2–4 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 29 February 2020SK Beveren 0–3 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 29 September 2019Anderlecht 0–0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
- 27 December 2018Anderlecht 3–0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
Leading scorers: SK Beveren and Anderlecht
SK Beveren
- C. Lokesa3 goals
Anderlecht
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.