Gais vs Malmo FF Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Gais 0-1 Malmo FF.
Before kick-off the model made it 49% Gais, 20% draw, 31% Malmo FF — fair odds of 2.04, 5.00 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Gais at 49% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Gais vs Malmo FF
Line-ups
- 1Mergim KrasniqiG
- 6August WängbergD
- 4Oskar ÅgrenD
- 24Filip BeckmanD
- 2Matteo de BrienneD
- 8William MilovanovicM
- 7Joackim FagerjordM
- 17Róbert Frosti ThorkelssonM
- 16Max AnderssonF
- 21Nikola VasicF
- 11Rasmus NiklassonF
- 10Henry SletsjoeM
- 20Samuel SalterF
- 5Robin Wendin ThomassonD
- 14Simon Girke JørgensenF
- 34Dennis CollanderM
- 30Adin TihicG
- 12Robin FrejD
- 22Anes CardaklijaD
- 32Oscar PetterssonF
- 1Robin OlsenG
- 17Jens Stryger LarsenD
- 5Andrej ĐurićD
- 44Malte PalssonD
- 25BusanelloD
- 40Kenan BusuladžićM
- 7Otto RosengrenM
- 37Adrian SkogmarM
- 9Diego GarcíaF
- 20Erik BotheimF
- 29Sead HakšabanovićF
- 47Theodor LundberghM
- 45Anton HöögM
- 4Bleon KurtulusD
- 10Anders ChristiansenM
- 32Daníel Tristan GuðjohnsenF
- 27Johan DahlinG
- 2Johan KarlssonD
- 28Jovan MilosavljevićM
- 39Isaac AssibuF
Form going into Gais vs Malmo FF
Gais
- W2-0away to Halmstad9 August 2026
- L0-6away to FC Nordsjaelland30 July 2026
- D1-1Halmstad26 July 2026
- W1-0FC Nordsjaelland23 July 2026
- L0-2away to AIK Stockholm18 July 2026
Malmo FF
- L1-2Degerfors IF9 August 2026
- W2-1away to IF Brommapojkarna2 August 2026
- L1-2IF Elfsborg26 July 2026
- D2-2away to Kalmar FF20 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Gais | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 27 |
| 5 | Malmo FF | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 37 | 31 | +6 | 33 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gais vs Malmo FF
- 16 August 2026Gais 0–1 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 12 April 2026Malmo FF 3–1 GaisAllsvenskan
- 9 November 2025Malmo FF 2–1 GaisAllsvenskan
- 5 July 2025Gais 0–0 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 18 September 2024Gais 0–0 Malmo FFAllsvenskan
- 16 May 2024Malmo FF 1–0 GaisAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Gais and Malmo FF
Gais
- S. Salter6 goals2 assists
Malmo FF
- E. Botheim10 goals3 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.