Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Kalmar FF 0-4 Hammarby FF.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Kalmar FF, 25% draw, 31% Hammarby FF — fair odds of 2.27, 4.00 and 3.23. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Kalmar FF at 44% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF
Line-ups
- 1Samuel BrolinG
- 27Fabian BjorklundD
- 39Lars SætraD
- 20Alexander AlmqvistD
- 2Victor LarssonD
- 13Charlie RosenqvistM
- 23Robert GojaniM
- 21Abdussalam MagashyM
- 24Charles Sagoe Jr.M
- 70Emeka NnamaniF
- 10Marius SöderbäckF
- 3Sivert Engh OverbyD
- 5Melker HallbergM
- 12Zakarias RavikD
- 7Nassef ChourakM
- 9Malcolm StoltF
- 30Jakob KindbergG
- 18Sodiq LawalD
- 1Warner HahnG
- 2Hampus SkoglundD
- 6Ibrahima FofanaD
- 3Frederik WintherD
- 16Noah PerssonD
- 28Frank Junior AdjeiM
- 8Markus KarlssonM
- 26Montader MadjedM
- 9Victor LindM
- 17Amin BoudriM
- 7Paulos AbrahamF
- 11Oscar Johansson SchellhasM
- 15Oliver Jordan HagenF
- 30Suwaibou KebbehF
- 31Oscar Steinke BrånbyD
- 20Nahir BesaraM
- 27Felix JakobssonG
- 24Waylon ReneckeD
- 4Victor ErikssonD
- 5Tesfaldet TekieM
Form going into Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF
Kalmar FF
- L2-3away to IFK Goteborg9 August 2026
- D1-1away to BK Hacken1 August 2026
- W2-1Mjallby AIF25 July 2026
- D2-2Malmo FF20 July 2026
Hammarby FF
- L0-1Raków Częstochowa13 August 2026
- W3-0BK Hacken9 August 2026
- D0-0away to Raków Częstochowa6 August 2026
- L1-3away to Anderlecht30 July 2026
- D1-1away to IF Brommapojkarna26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
| 3 | Hammarby FF | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 20 | +28 | 40 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Kalmar FF vs Hammarby FF
- 16 August 2026Kalmar FF 0–4 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- 12 July 2026Hammarby FF 2–0 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
- 3 March 2025Hammarby FF 2–1 Kalmar FFSvenska Cupen
- 4 August 2024Kalmar FF 1–4 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
- 31 March 2024Hammarby FF 3–1 Kalmar FFAllsvenskan
- 20 August 2023Kalmar FF 0–0 Hammarby FFAllsvenskan
Leading scorers: Kalmar FF and Hammarby FF
Kalmar FF
- C. Rosenquist7 goals1 assists
Hammarby FF
- P. Abraham13 goals3 assists
- V. Lind9 goals11 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.