11 October 2026, 13:30 UTC

ES Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien Ligue 1 prediction & result

Metlaoui Municipal stadium, Metlaoui
Full time1 – 2

Final score: ES Metlaoui 1-2 Stade Tunisien.

Before kick-off the model made it 32% ES Metlaoui, 29% draw, 39% Stade Tunisien — fair odds of 3.13, 3.45 and 2.56.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Stade Tunisien at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

ES Metlaoui3%Draw93%Stade Tunisien4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽C. Bodian
41'
🔁Y. Soltaniout: O. Chebbi
61'
🔁C. Bodianout: A. Jouini
61'
65'
🔁B. Hmidiout: M. Khemissi
76'
🔁M. Thiouneout: Y. Dhaflaoui
76'
🔁S. Sghaierout: R. Riahi
🔁B. Nanaout: B. Hajji
76'
81'
⚽F. Ben Youssef
90+11'
⚽A. N'Diaye

Line-ups

ES Metlaoui
  • 27M. Bejaoui
  • 15Y. Soltani
  • 18O. Hichri
  • 20A. Ghrissi
  • 34M. Toumi
  • 5M. Belghith
  • 8E. Kouassi
  • 19C. Bodian
  • 23Y. Mrad
  • 9O. Naffati
  • 14B. Nana
Substitutes
  • 1S. Yeddes
  • 4M. Bouzaabya
  • 29A. Tlili
  • 10I. Hermes
  • 17O. Chebbi
  • 28M. Ourimi
  • 7B. Hajji
  • 11A. Jouini
Stade Tunisien
  • 22N. Farhati
  • 3A. Saihi
  • 19F. Abdi
  • 24R. Derbali
  • 25S. Sghaier
  • 6P. Diop
  • 8Y. Saafi
  • 34M. Thioune
  • 7W. Ouerghemmi
  • 9A. N'Diaye
  • 20B. Hmidi
Substitutes
  • 16A. Dkhili
  • 5M. Jelassi
  • 12Y. Oumarou
  • 17R. Riahi
  • 21Y. Toure
  • 11F. Ben Youssef
  • 14B. Camara
  • 18M. Khemissi
  • 29Y. Dhaflaoui

Form going into ES Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien

ES Metlaoui

Ligue 1

  • L0-1away to Jeunesse Sportive Omrane13 September 2026
  • W1-0ES Hammam-Sousse6 September 2026

Stade Tunisien

Ligue 1

  • W3-1away to ES Hammam-Sousse12 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Tunisia Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12ES Metlaoui7205510-56
3Stade Tunisien7412107+313

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: ES Metlaoui vs Stade Tunisien

  • 1 February 2026ES Metlaoui 0–0 Stade TunisienLigue 1
  • 27 August 2025Stade Tunisien 2–0 ES MetlaouiLigue 1
  • 1 February 2025ES Metlaoui 0–0 Stade TunisienLigue 1
  • 26 September 2024Stade Tunisien 1–0 ES MetlaouiLigue 1
  • 27 May 2023ES Metlaoui 2–1 Stade TunisienLigue 1

Leading scorers: ES Metlaoui and Stade Tunisien

ES Metlaoui

GoalsAssists

  • Mohamed Bouzaabya10

Stade Tunisien

No player in Ligue 1's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Stade Tunisien won 2–1 at ES Metlaoui. The model had made a win for Stade Tunisien its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: C. Bodian 41' for ES Metlaoui, F. Ben Youssef 81' for Stade Tunisien, A. N'Diaye 90+11' for Stade Tunisien.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.