ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: ES Sahel 0-1 CS Hammam-Lif.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% ES Sahel, 26% draw, 23% CS Hammam-Lif — fair odds of 1.96, 3.85 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
ES Sahel at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 16S. Ben Hessen
- 2W. Kechrida
- 5P. Lanquetin
- 14N. Ferjani
- 15B. Diarra
- 8O. Abid
- 25O. Diakhate
- 7A. Ben Dhiaf
- 9M. Chaabani
- 29M. Senghor
- 30R. Anane
- 36R. Gazzeh
- 33H. Dagdoug
- 10A. Amri
- 22A. Zorgati
- 26M. Hassine
- 34R. Gara
- 17N. Smichi
- 20E. Oscar
- 28K. Eduwo
- 40M. Ben Cherifia
- 5A. Koudhai
- 10H. Ghrairi
- 12H. Mhamdi
- 15C. Fradj
- 23F. Ben Ammar
- 26B. Sellami
- 6N. Sangare
- 25W. Barhoumi
- 7M. Ben Tiba
- 11Z. Ben Salem
- 1I. Ben Mansour
- 2A. Abassi
- 13A. Boukeba
- 14A. S. Berete
- 18T. Laabidi
- 29I. Dridi
- 9M. Mejri
- 19Y. Chamakji
- 21R. Kamergi
Form going into ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif
ES Sahel
Ligue 1
- L0-1away to AS Marsa12 September 2026
- D1-1Jeunesse Sportive Omrane6 September 2026
CS Hammam-Lif
Ligue 1
- L0-1away to US Ben Guerdane20 September 2026
- L0-1ES Tunis13 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Tunisia Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | ES Sahel | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | CS Hammam-Lif | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif
- 5 September 2020CS Hammam-Lif 1–0 Etoile DU SahelLigue 1
- 11 December 2019Etoile DU Sahel 4–0 CS Hammam-LifLigue 1
- 7 March 2019Etoile Du Sahel 2–1 CS Hammam-LifLigue 1
- 31 October 2018CS Hammam-Lif 0–1 Etoile Du SahelLigue 1
- 19 February 2017CS Hammam-Lif 0–0 Etoile DU SahelCup
The result against the call
CS Hammam-Lif won 1–0 at ES Sahel. The model had leaned towards a win for ES Sahel at 51% and given a win for CS Hammam-Lif 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: C. Fradj 10' for CS Hammam-Lif. Sent off: A. Boukeba (CS Hammam-Lif) 84'.
How the call on ES Sahel v CS Hammam-Lif has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 47% / 28% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 51% / 26% / 23%: the biggest move is ES Sahel's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- ES Sahel win51%▲ +4
- Draw26%▼ −2
- CS Hammam-Lif win23%▼ −2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.