11 October 2026, 13:30 UTC

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa Ligue 1 prediction & result

Stade Chedly Zouiten, Tunis
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0-0 AS Marsa.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, 26% draw, 25% AS Marsa — fair odds of 2.04, 3.85 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane5%Draw92%AS Marsa3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁B. Touatiout: C. Zoughlami
62'
🔁A. Jouiniout: G. Ben Hamida
62'
O. Belhaj
63'
64'
🔁A. Ben Hamidaout: O. Adejoh
66'
K. Khalfa
🔁M. Souissiout: M. Jammel
75'
🔁A. C. Chinonsoout: M. Askri
75'
76'
🔁F. Iffiaout: Y. Dao
76'
🔁K. Khalfaout: M. Traidi
S. Marouani
81'
85'
🔁M. Hamrouniout: K. Maacha
86'
O. Bahri
🔁O. Belhajout: S. Abdelli
90+5'

Line-ups

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
  • 22O. Hanzouli
  • 5S. Marouani
  • 12M. Souissi
  • 20S. Hammami
  • 27B. Mgannem
  • 30H. Kouki
  • 8A. Jouini
  • 19M. Ben Amor
  • 6A. C. Chinonso
  • 9B. Touati
  • 11O. Belhaj
Substitutes
  • 1W. Karoui
  • 4K. Othmani
  • 15A. Gharbi
  • 25M. Jammel
  • 10G. Ben Hamida
  • 7S. Abdelli
  • 17C. Zoughlami
  • 28M. Askri
  • 33H. Guezmir
AS Marsa
  • 16H. Ben Cherifia
  • 5O. Bahri
  • 17O. Jebali
  • 34M. Kechiche
  • 6K. Khalfa
  • 8A. Gasmi
  • 28A. Ben Hamida
  • 2M. Chaouch
  • 7F. Iffia
  • 10M. Hamrouni
  • 18N. Mani
Substitutes
  • 1M. Ben Braiek
  • 4A. Wadud
  • 12Y. Boukhris
  • 20F. Meskini
  • 13A. Traidi
  • 21O. Adejoh
  • 24O. Mejri
  • 25Y. Dao
  • 30K. Maacha

Form going into Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane

Ligue 1

  • W1-0ES Metlaoui13 September 2026
  • D1-1away to ES Sahel6 September 2026

AS Marsa

Ligue 1

  • W1-0ES Sahel12 September 2026
  • L1-2away to ES Tunis6 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Tunisia Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Jeunesse Sportive Omrane724165+110
11AS Marsa613254+16

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa

  • 12 May 2026Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 2–2 AS MarsaLigue 1
  • 22 November 2025AS Marsa 2–1 Jeunesse Sportive OmraneLigue 1

The result against the call

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane and AS Marsa drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane at 49% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

How the call on Jeunesse Sportive Omrane v AS Marsa has moved

First published on 6 Oct at 46% / 27% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 49% / 26% / 25%: the biggest move is Jeunesse Sportive Omrane's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win49%▲ +3
  2. Draw26%▼ −1
  3. AS Marsa win25%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.