ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse Ligue 1 prediction & result
Final score: ES Zarzis 2-0 ES Hammam-Sousse.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% ES Zarzis, 25% draw, 21% ES Hammam-Sousse — fair odds of 1.85, 4.00 and 4.76.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
ES Zarzis at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 22S. Charfi
- 25J. Belkilani
- 29S. Diouf
- 30S. Touj
- 35H. Mounadi
- 17D. Nyengue
- 20M. Smaali
- 26Y. El Kassah
- 7H. Labidi
- 9K. Sowe
- 10M. Jertila
- 32H. Ghanmi
- 3A. M. Yassine
- 28L. Rjili
- 4A. Toure
- 6O. Toure
- 11A. Garreb
- 15A. Oluwaseun
- 18Y. Dhiflaoui
- 27A. Tajourii
- 30M. Hazgui
- 2N. El Beji
- 3G. Abderrazzak
- 5J. Moussa
- 29M. A. Helal
- 20M. Baayou
- 6Figo
- 11M. A. Jarraya
- 13M. Sassi
- 24O. Martin
- 33T. Ben Zitoun
- 32C. Nasreli
- 4O. Tenguiano
- 17R. Ouni
- 15A. Moataz
- 23A. Jaziri
- 34I. Houli
- 8A. Hssine
- 19A. Chaabane
- 22M. Ben Salah
Form going into ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse
ES Zarzis
Ligue 1
- L0-1away to Club Africain20 September 2026
- L1-2US Monastirienne16 September 2026
ES Hammam-Sousse
Ligue 1
- L1-3Stade Tunisien12 September 2026
- L0-1away to ES Metlaoui6 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Tunisia Ligue 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | ES Zarzis | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | ES Hammam-Sousse | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse
- 29 May 2022ES Zarzis 1–1 Hammam-SousseLigue 1
- 18 May 2022Hammam-Sousse 1–1 ES ZarzisLigue 1
- 22 April 2021Hammam-Sousse 2–1 ES ZarzisLigue 2
- 20 March 2021ES Zarzis 3–1 Hammam-SousseLigue 2
- 14 February 2021Hammam-Sousse 2–1 ES ZarzisLigue 2
The result against the call
ES Zarzis beat ES Hammam-Sousse 2–0. The model had made a win for ES Zarzis its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: M. Jertila 47' for ES Zarzis, H. Labidi 70' for ES Zarzis. Sent off: J. Moussa (ES Hammam-Sousse) 38'.
How the call on ES Zarzis v ES Hammam-Sousse has moved
First published on 6 Oct at 49% / 27% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 54% / 25% / 21%: the biggest move is ES Zarzis's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- ES Zarzis win54%▲ +5
- Draw25%▼ −2
- ES Hammam-Sousse win21%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.