Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto 0-0 San Lorenzo.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto, 28% draw, 35% San Lorenzo — fair odds of 2.70, 3.57 and 2.86. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto at 37% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Lucas BrueraG
- 2Gonzalo MaffiniD
- 30Sergio OjedaD
- 31Matias ValentiD
- 5Alejandro CabreraM
- 14Gonzalo GonzalezM
- 10Tomas GonzalezM
- 17Gabriel AlanísM
- 23Fernando RodríguezM
- 22Mauro ValienteF
- 77Ibrahim HesarF
- 43Agustín LastraG
- 29Agustin QuirogaD
- 6Juan AntoniniD
- 45Raúl LozanoD
- 28Facundo CobosD
- 13Francisco RomeroM
- 99Juan ChalaM
- 27Juan GarroF
- 40Francesco Lo CelsoM
- 25José DevecchiG
- 32Ezequiel HerreraD
- 19Emiliano AmorD
- 2Danilo ArboledaD
- 3Teo Rodríguez PaganoD
- 22Juan ÁlvarezM
- 5Ignacio PerruzziM
- 24Nicolás TripichioM
- 11Matias RealiM
- 9Alexis CuelloF
- 29Rodrigo AuzmendiF
- 20Facundo AltamiranoG
- 14Agustin LadstatterF
- 35Alejo CordobaD
- 6Mathias de RitisD
- 42Franco LorenzonD
- 16Guzmán CorujoD
- 13Juan RattalinoM
- 15Mauricio CardilloM
- 27Martín RioM
Form going into Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
- L0-1Atletico Tucuman17 August 2026
- L1-2away to Independiente Rivadavia8 August 2026
- D0-0Banfield1 August 2026
- L0-3away to Argentinos Juniors29 July 2026
- W1-0Tigre25 July 2026
San Lorenzo
- W1-0Union Santa Fe15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto vs San Lorenzo
- 22 February 2026San Lorenzo 2–0 Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto and San Lorenzo
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
No leading scorers listed yet.
San Lorenzo
- R. Auzmendi6 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.