21 August 2026, 15:30 UTC

Paks vs Ujpest NB I prediction & result

Paks
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Paks 2-0 Ujpest.

Before kick-off the model made it 82% Paks, 9% draw, 9% Ujpest — fair odds of 1.22, 11.11 and 11.11.

Most likely scoreline: 4-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Paks at 82%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Paks99%Draw1%Ujpest0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

J. Windecker
7'
⚽J. Windeckerassist: A. Lapu
21'
⚽J. Szalaiassist: K. Papp
36'
46'
🔁G. Vlijterout: A. Matko
46'
🔁F. Ujvaryout: K. Sarkadi
J. Hahn
62'
🔁J. Hahnout: K. Horvath
62'
🔁B. Baloghout: M. Peto
63'
63'
🔁N. Fenyoout: M. Mucsanyi
63'
🔁A. Krajcsovicsout: A. Maier
J. Szabo
72'
74'
🔁M. Ljujicout: P. M. Balladom
🔁A. Lapuout: E. Silye
85'
M. Zeke
87'
🔁M. Gyorfiout: M. Szekszardi
88'

Match stats — Paks vs Ujpest

43%Possession57%
18Shots17
8On target4
5Corners1

Line-ups

Paks
Coach: Gyorgy Bognar
Ujpest
Coach: Zoltan Szelesi

Form going into Paks vs Ujpest

Paks

All competitions we cover

  • L2-3away to Puskas Academy16 August 2026
  • D2-2Budapest Honved9 August 2026
  • L2-5away to Zalaegerszegi TE3 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Panathinaikos30 July 2026
  • W4-2Ferencvarosi TC26 July 2026

Ujpest

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1MTK Budapest15 August 2026
  • W4-2away to Kisvarda FC8 August 2026
  • W4-2Debreceni VSC2 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Nyiregyhaza24 July 2026

What these results say

  • Paks scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Paks conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Paks had three goals or more.
  • Ujpest scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Ujpest conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Both sides scored in every one of these 4 matches for Ujpest.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

NB I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
5Paks136252422+220
6Ujpest135352120+118

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Paks vs Ujpest

  • 7 March 2026Ujpest 0–0 PaksNB I
  • 23 November 2025Paks 1–3 UjpestNB I
  • 10 August 2025Ujpest 1–2 PaksNB I
  • 14 March 2025Paks 6–1 UjpestNB I
  • 9 November 2024Ujpest 0–0 PaksNB I
  • 4 August 2024Paks 2–1 UjpestNB I

Leading scorers: Paks and Ujpest

Paks

GoalsAssists

  • M. Pető61
  • J. Szalai61

Ujpest

GoalsAssists

  • A. Matko63
  • E. Amenyido45
  • G. Vlijter32

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Paks beat Ujpest 2–0. The model had made a win for Paks its most likely outcome, at 82%, so the call held; the score it named was 4–1. The goals: J. Windecker 21' for Paks, J. Szalai 36' for Paks. Sent off: M. Zeke (Paks) 87'.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.