21 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Sirius vs BK Hacken Allsvenskan prediction & result

Studenternas IP, Uppsala
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Sirius 0-3 BK Hacken.

Before kick-off the model made it 72% Sirius, 18% draw, 10% BK Hacken — fair odds of 1.39, 5.56 and 10.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Sirius at 72% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sirius0%Draw1%BK Hacken99%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Melker Heier
7'
28'
⚽J. Lindbergassist: M. Rygaard
🔁N. Milleskogout: O. Adindu
56'
62'
⚽G. Lindgrenassist: J. Lindberg
64'
Gustav Lindgren
🔁J. Perssonout: A. Ljungberg
73'
🔁V. Svenssonout: C. Nilden
74'
Mohamed Soumah
78'
80'
⚽G. Lindgrenassist: A. Svanback
🔁M. Heierout: S. Sandberg
82'
82'
🔁M. Rygaardout: M. Haaland
85'
🔁A. Svanbackout: B. Sadiku
87'
🔁L. Vaisanenout: O. Samuelsson

Match stats — Sirius vs BK Hacken

47%Possession53%
9Shots12
2On target4
4Corners7

Line-ups

Sirius 3-4-3
  • 34D. CelicG
  • 5H. CastegrenD
  • 2M. SoumahD
  • 4T. AnkerD
  • 24V. SvenssonM
  • 10M. HeierM
  • 6M. LindbergM
  • 22O. KrusnellM
  • 19N. MilleskogF
  • 7J. PerssonF
  • 11I. BjerkeboF
Substitutes
  • 1I. DiawaraG
  • 15S. SandbergD
  • 20V. EkstromD
  • 35E. EldD
  • 18A. WikmanM
  • 21C. NildenM
  • 25O. AdinduF
  • 36A. LjungbergF
  • 23F. NeatF
Coach: Andreas Engelmark
BK Hacken 4-2-3-1
  • 99E. BerishaG
  • 5B. WembangomoD
  • 15L. VaisanenD
  • 22F. HelanderD
  • 21A. LundkvistD
  • 19D. SegerM
  • 6A. DoumbiaM
  • 20A. SvanbackM
  • 10M. RygaardM
  • 11J. LindbergM
  • 9G. LindgrenF
Substitutes
  • 35D. AnderssonG
  • 23O. SamuelssonD
  • 13H. HilveniusD
  • 32H. IbrahimM
  • 7S. NgaboM
  • 27C. WawaF
  • 24B. SadikuF
  • 25S. KondoM
  • 14M. HaalandM
Coach: Jens Gustafsson

Form going into Sirius vs BK Hacken

Sirius

  • L3-4away to Mjallby AIF15 August 2026

BK Hacken

  • W1-0Halmstad17 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Allsvenskan table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Sirius2115335027+2348
6BK Hacken218943430+433

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sirius vs BK Hacken

  • 21 August 2026Sirius 0–3 BK HackenAllsvenskan
  • 27 April 2026BK Hacken 2–2 SiriusAllsvenskan
  • 18 October 2025BK Hacken 1–1 SiriusAllsvenskan
  • 10 May 2025Sirius 2–0 BK HackenAllsvenskan
  • 1 March 2025BK Hacken 0–2 SiriusSvenska Cupen
  • 29 September 2024BK Hacken 2–0 SiriusAllsvenskan

Leading scorers: Sirius and BK Hacken

Sirius

  • R. Ure15 goals2 assists
  • I. Bjerkebo13 goals5 assists

BK Hacken

  • G. Lindgren9 goals
  • Julius Lindberg6 goals5 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.