Regular Season - 15 · 29 November 2026, 15:30 UTC

SV Wehen vs SV Meppen 3. Liga prediction

BRITA-Arena, Wiesbaden

Our model says: SV Wehen 1–0 SV Meppen

The model makes it 49% SV Wehen, 28% draw, 23% SV Meppen — fair odds of 2.04, 3.57 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Expected goals: SV Wehen 1.58, SV Meppen 0.91.

Both teams to score: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 45%, under 2.5: 55%.

Model confidence: Medium — calls at this level have come off 46% of the time, over 2,958 settled matches.

Evenly matched: once home advantage is counted, neither side has a clear edge. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 41%, 28% were drawn and the underdog won 31%.

Published

Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. SV Wehen's rating is built from 51 3. Liga matches and SV Meppen's from 13, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.

Key facts

  • SV Wehen are 4th on 21 points from 13 games; SV Meppen are 11th on 18 points from 13 games — 3. Liga.
  • SV Wehen are unbeaten in their last 5 games (4 won), most recently a 3-0 win at home to Havelse.
  • SV Meppen are unbeaten in their last 5 games (3 won), most recently a 2-1 win at home to SSV Jahn Regensburg.
  • Last 6 meetings: SV Wehen 4 wins to 2, 0 draws; the most recent, 29 April 2023, ended SV Wehen 1–2 SV Meppen.

More 3. Liga predictions

All 3. Liga predictions →

Live win probability

From kick-off

From kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.

Model insights: SV Wehen vs SV Meppen

48%
Both teams to score
45%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Under 2.5 goals

Most likely scorelines

SV Wehen win Draw SV Meppen win
  1. 1–113%
  2. 1–012%
  3. 2–010%
  4. 2–19%
  5. 0–09%
  6. 0–17%
  7. 3–05%

Scores read SV Wehen first; the other scorelines share the remaining 34%. How to read this.

Has the model earned this number?

SV Wehen at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Form going into SV Wehen vs SV Meppen

SV Wehen

3. Liga

  • W3-0Havelse7 November 2026
  • W4-1away to Verl31 October 2026
  • W7-1SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach24 October 2026
  • D0-0away to SSV Jahn Regensburg17 October 2026
  • W3-0Alemannia Aachen14 October 2026

SV Meppen

3. Liga

  • W2-1SSV Jahn Regensburg8 November 2026
  • D0-0away to Fortuna Düsseldorf30 October 2026
  • W4-0Würzburger Kickers24 October 2026
  • D1-1Havelse18 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Hansa Rostock13 October 2026

What these results say

  • SV Wehen went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • SV Wehen won 4 of these 5 matches.
  • SV Wehen scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • SV Meppen went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • SV Meppen scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4SV Wehen136342617+921
11SV Meppen135351818018

Where the two sides stand. Full table

Head-to-head: SV Wehen vs SV Meppen

  • 29 April 2023SV Wehen 1–2 SV Meppen3. Liga
  • 4 November 2022SV Meppen 0–3 SV Wehen3. Liga
  • 1 April 2022SV Meppen 0–4 SV Wehen3. Liga
  • 23 October 2021SV Wehen 3–4 SV Meppen3. Liga
  • 12 April 2021SV Meppen 0–3 SV Wehen3. Liga
  • 24 November 2020SV Wehen 1–0 SV Meppen3. Liga

Leading scorers: SV Wehen and SV Meppen

SV Wehen

GoalsAssists

  • R. Massimo33
  • R. Kalem32

SV Meppen

No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The rest of the season

Across the rest of the season our simulation gives SV Wehen a 5.1% chance of the title and SV Meppen 0.2%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.

Team comparison

SV Wehen SV Meppen
0.61 Attack strength (vs league average) 0.47
1.61 Defence strength (vs league average, lower = stronger) 1.59
1.58 Model expected goals (this match) 0.91

Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.

Why the model favours this side

The model gives SV Wehen the highest probability at 49%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.58 expected goals for SV Wehen against 0.91 for SV Meppen. SV Wehen's attack/defence rating is 0.61/1.61 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.47/1.59 for SV Meppen.

SV Wehen carry a model rating of 6.36 against 6.25 for SV Meppen. A gap that small is inside the noise of the rating itself — treat the two as level.

How the model reaches 49% for SV Wehen to win

Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for SV Wehen to win. Then home advantage adds 8 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, SV Wehen's ratings add 4 points and SV Meppen's ratings add 2 points, which lands on the published 49%.

  1. Two average sides, neutral ground36%
  2. Home advantage44%+8
  3. Both sides at this match's level43%−1
  4. SV Wehen's ratings47%+4
  5. SV Meppen's ratings49%+2

Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.

Season stats

SV WehenSV Meppen
13Matches13
6W 3D 4LRecord5W 3D 5L
26 2.0 per gameGoals scored18 1.4 per game
17 1.3 per gameGoals conceded18 1.4 per game
5 of 13Clean sheets5 of 13
4 of 13Failed to score3 of 13
2 of 3Penalties scored1 of 1
31 2.4 per gameYellow cards39 3.0 per game
2Red cards2
4-4-2 3×Usual shape4-3-3 6×

SV Wehen at home · SV Meppen away

7Played6
3W 1D 3LRecord2W 1D 3L
15–9Goals for – against6–6
3 of 7Clean sheets3 of 6

League matches only, 3. Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.

Goals scored and conceded, by minute

All 3. Liga matches this season: SV Wehen 13, SV Meppen 13.

SV Wehen scored 235545
SV Meppen conceded 332415
SV Meppen scored 515241
SV Wehen conceded 063205

League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.

The next 4 matches, by difficulty

SV Wehen

  • at Fortuna Düsseldorf5 Dec · 3. Ligawin 36%
  • vs Stuttgart II12 Dec · 3. Ligawin 55%
  • at Hoffenheim II19 Dec · 3. Ligawin 37%
  • vs FC Viktoria Köln16 Jan · 3. Ligawin 42%

SV Meppen

  • vs Rot-Weiß Essen5 Dec · 3. Ligawin 37%
  • at Preußen Münster12 Dec · 3. Ligawin 33%
  • vs FC Ingolstadt 0419 Dec · 3. Ligawin 41%
  • at Waldhof Mannheim16 Jan · 3. Ligawin 30%

Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.