Eyüpspor vs Göztepe Süper Lig prediction & result
Final score: Eyüpspor 0-4 Göztepe.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Eyüpspor, 27% draw, 41% Göztepe — fair odds of 3.13, 3.70 and 2.44.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Göztepe at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Eyüpspor vs Göztepe
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 31Horațiu MoldovanG
- 77Konrad MichalakD
- 88Chandrel MassangaD
- 4Seyfettin Anıl YaşarD
- 33Zak JulesD
- 21Simone GiordanoD
- 8David CostaM
- 28Taşkın IlterM
- 70Mete DemirM
- 29Ahmed AbdullahiF
- 9Yusuf BarasıF
- 7Talha ÜlvanD
- 11Lenny PintorF
- 15Charles-Andre Raux YaoM
- 18Hamza AkmanM
- 98Bilal BoutobbaF
- 1Emre BilginG
- 42Berhan SatliD
- 27Yiğit DemirD
- 3Arda YavuzD
- 1Arda ÖzçimenG
- 4Taha AltıkardeşD
- 19Noah Sonko SundbergD
- 26Malcom BokeleD
- 2Arda KurtulanM
- 5RhaldneyM
- 20Novatus MiroshiM
- 12Richard AkonnorM
- 8Alexis AntunesF
- 39JandersonF
- 9Juan Santos da SilvaF
- 7André HenriqueF
- 22Sinclair ArmstrongF
- 6Alex MatosM
- 10Efkan BekiroğluM
- 18Tino AnjorinM
- 33Mehmet Şamil ÖztürkG
- 13Ege YildirimD
- 17Gökdeniz BayrakdarF
- 14Bekir Turaç BökeF
Form going into Eyüpspor vs Göztepe
Eyüpspor
All competitions we cover
- L0-8away to Fenerbahçe20 September 2026
- L0-2Rizespor12 September 2026
- L0-3away to Çorum FK6 September 2026
- W2-1Alanyaspor30 August 2026
- L0-1Gaziantep FK23 August 2026
Göztepe
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Rizespor20 September 2026
- D2-2away to Alanyaspor12 September 2026
- L2-4Gaziantep FK7 September 2026
- L2-3away to Galatasaray29 August 2026
- L0-1Gençlerbirliği S.K.23 August 2026
What these results say
- Eyüpspor conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Eyüpspor failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Eyüpspor failed to score in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Göztepe did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Göztepe conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Göztepe scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Süper Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Eyüpspor | 11 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 30 | -27 | 3 |
| 10 | Göztepe | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Eyüpspor vs Göztepe
- 28 February 2026Göztepe 0–0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
- 27 September 2025Eyüpspor 0–0 GöztepeSüper Lig
- 16 March 2025Göztepe 1–1 EyüpsporSüper Lig
- 19 October 2024Eyüpspor 1–0 GöztepeSüper Lig
- 4 May 2024Eyüpspor 0–3 Göztepe1. Lig
Leading scorers: Eyüpspor and Göztepe
Eyüpspor
No player in Süper Lig's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Göztepe
GoalsAssists
- Juan71
- André Henrique41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Göztepe won 4–0 at Eyüpspor. The model had made a win for Göztepe its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Juan (penalty) 11' for Göztepe, Andre Henrique 54' for Göztepe, Andre Henrique 59' for Göztepe, Andre Henrique (penalty) 76' for Göztepe. Sent off: A. Abdullahi (Eyüpspor) 10'. On expected goals it finished 1.39–3.21.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Eyüpspor a 74.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 67.5% after a win, 76.2% after a draw, 79.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 79.0%, 4.8 points higher than before the match.
For Göztepe the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 29.8% going in: 23.7% after a win, 30.9% after a draw, 36.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 23.7%, 6.1 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Süper Lig season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Eyüpspor v Göztepe has moved
First published on 28 Sep at 33% / 28% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 32% / 27% / 41%: the biggest move is Göztepe's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Eyüpspor win32%▼ −1
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Göztepe win41%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.