12 October 2026, 17:00 UTC

Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932 Segunda Liga prediction & result

Benfica Campus, Seixal
Referee: Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Benfica B 1-0 Felgueiras 1932.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Benfica B, 27% draw, 22% Felgueiras 1932 — fair odds of 1.96, 3.70 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Benfica B at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Benfica B98%Draw2%Felgueiras 19320%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Anísio Cabralassist: Gonçalo Carvalho Moreira
33'
43'
Tiago Ventura da Silva
Anísio Cabral
45+2'
46'
🔁Henrique Manuel Neiva De Almeida Martinsout: Filipe Cruz
59'
Rodrigo Santos Ribeiro
🔁Anísio Cabralout: Francisco Silva
60'
🔁Olivio Toméout: Peter Edokpolor
60'
🔁Tiago Freitasout: Bernardes
60'
64'
🔁Rodrigo Santos Ribeiroout: Michel Costa
64'
🔁Francisco Paulo Franco Francaout: Beni Jetour
70'
Beni Jetour
🔁Nuno Miguel Madeira Fernandes Felixout: Stevan Pedro Dores Manuel
75'
78'
🔁Lucas da Costa Duarteout: Tiago Leite
82'
🔁Joao Reis Pintoout: Adson Samuel Nunes dos Chaves
90+3'

Match stats — Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932

59%Possession41%
10Shots12
6On target4
7Corners4

Line-ups

Benfica B 4-3-3
  • 50Diogo FerreiraG
  • 78D. SoaresD
  • 55João Carvalho FonsecaD
  • 33Gabriel IndioD
  • 62J. NetoD
  • 76R. QuintasM
  • 60Nuno FélixM
  • 88Tiago FreitasM
  • 77Gonçalo Carvalho MoreiraF
  • 72A. CabralF
  • 74O. TomeF
Substitutes
  • 81Stevan ManuelM
  • 79T. SoaresF
  • 87Peter EdokpolorF
  • 91Francisco SilvaF
  • 71F. ColettaM
  • 52João CapuchoD
  • 85Martim Maria FerreiraM
  • 94Rui SilvaD
  • 93diego coelho
Coach: Nelson Veríssimo
Felgueiras 1932 4-4-2
  • 14Mateus PasinatoG
  • 70B. OuacharafD
  • 3João PintoD
  • 15Armando LopesD
  • 23Afonso de FreitasD
  • 20Rodrigo Santos RibeiroM
  • 6Henrique MartinsM
  • 77Francisco FrançaM
  • 80Tiago Ventura da SilvaF
  • 7Mario RivasF
  • 19Lucas da Costa DuarteF
Substitutes
  • 25Felipe ScheibigG
  • 16Beni JetourM
  • 95Nuno NamoraD
  • 17Filipe CruzD
  • 9Tiago Rafael Fernandes LeiiteF
  • 10Michel CostaM
  • 5Afonso PeixotoD
  • 96Martim Duarte
  • 13JoãozinhoF
Coach: Moreno

Form going into Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932

Benfica B

Segunda Liga

  • W3-0away to Academica11 September 2026

Felgueiras 1932

Segunda Liga

  • L1-2Penafiel12 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Benfica B10622148+620
15Felgueiras 1932101541215-38

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Benfica B vs Felgueiras 1932

  • 14 February 2026Benfica B 4–2 Felgueiras 1932Segunda Liga
  • 13 September 2025Felgueiras 1932 2–1 Benfica BSegunda Liga
  • 4 May 2025Felgueiras 1932 3–3 Benfica BSegunda Liga
  • 22 December 2024Benfica B 2–0 Felgueiras 1932Segunda Liga

The result against the call

Benfica B beat Felgueiras 1932 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Benfica B at 51%. The goal: Anísio Cabral 33' for Benfica B. Sent off: Tiago Ventura da Silva (Felgueiras 1932) 43'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Benfica B a 37.9% chance to finish in the top four: 41.9% after a win, 34.5% after a draw, 30.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 41.9%, 4 points higher than before the match.

For Felgueiras 1932 the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 19.7% going in: 13.2% after a win, 18.4% after a draw, 22.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 22.3%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Segunda Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Benfica B v Felgueiras 1932 has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 47% / 29% / 24% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 51% / 27% / 22%: the biggest move is Benfica B's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Benfica B win51%▲ +4
  2. Draw27%▼ −2
  3. Felgueiras 1932 win22%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.