FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijon Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: FC Andorra 1-3 Sporting Gijon.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% FC Andorra, 29% draw, 33% Sporting Gijon — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
FC Andorra at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijon
Line-ups
- 25Jesús OwonoG
- 17T. CarriqueD
- 5Marc BombardóD
- 23Diego AlendeD
- 18Andoni LópezD
- 10Marc DomènechM
- 14Sergio MolinaM
- 8E. AkmanM
- 11L. de LeónF
- 9Julian Dean RijkhoffF
- 29Hugo LópezF
- 19Nacho QuintanaM
- 15Jordi CanoM
- 22D. DiazM
- 13Pau LópezG
- 28T. OlmedoM
- 3L. SpatzD
- 6Hugo SolozábalM
- 21Moró SidibeF
- 2Juan SerranoD
- 1Rubén YáñezG
- 24Aimar DuñabeitiaD
- 15Pablo VázquezD
- 44Andrés CuencaD
- 2Guille RosasM
- 8M. RodriguezM
- 14Álex CorrederaM
- 3Pablo GarcíaM
- 20N. IosifovM
- 10César GelabertM
- 19J. OteroF
- 4E. GularteD
- 5Diego SánchezD
- 23Jorge SáenzD
- 16A. SarcoF
- 36B. RubioM
- 26Iker MartínezD
- 6Nacho MartínM
- 21M. LoumM
- 35C. FerreresM
Form going into FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijon
FC Andorra
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Real Sociedad II12 September 2026
- L0-1away to Valladolid5 September 2026
- L0-1Eibar30 August 2026
- L2-4away to Celta de Vigo II24 August 2026
- W5-1AD Ceuta FC15 August 2026
Sporting Gijon
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Eldense13 September 2026
- L0-2Girona5 September 2026
- W1-0away to Tenerife28 August 2026
- W1-0Burgos23 August 2026
- D0-0Sabadell17 August 2026
What these results say
- FC Andorra conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- FC Andorra failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Sporting Gijon had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | FC Andorra | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Andorra vs Sporting Gijon
- 8 March 2026FC Andorra 1–0 Sporting GijonSegunda División
- 28 November 2025Sporting Gijon 1–1 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 11 May 2024Sporting Gijon 5–2 FC AndorraSegunda División
- 23 September 2023FC Andorra 0–0 Sporting GijonSegunda División
- 19 February 2023FC Andorra 1–0 Sporting GijonSegunda División
Leading scorers: FC Andorra and Sporting Gijon
FC Andorra
GoalsAssists
- Jordi Cano52
Sporting Gijon
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sporting Gijon won 3–1 at FC Andorra. The model had leaned towards a win for FC Andorra at 38% and given a win for Sporting Gijon 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Aimar Duñabeitia 7' for Sporting Gijon, Jordi Cano 48' for FC Andorra, Antonio Manuel Casas Marin 66' for Sporting Gijon, Nikita Iosifov 90+7' for Sporting Gijon.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.