Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Universitatea Craiova 5-0 FCSB.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Universitatea Craiova, 28% draw, 31% FCSB — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Romanian Liga I predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Universitatea Craiova at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB
Line-ups
- 21L. PopescuG
- 3O. RomanchukD
- 24N. StevanovićD
- 6V. ScreciuD
- 17C. MoraM
- 8T. BăluțăM
- 20A. CicâldăuM
- 11N. BancuM
- 30D. MateiF
- 9A. Al HamlawiF
- 12M. EtimF
- 7S. NsimbaF
- 22S. ElisorF
- 4A. CrețuM
- 29L. BăsceanuM
- 19Heriberto TavaresD
- 5B. RouxD
- 18M. RădulescuM
- 16João LameiraM
- 90R. SavaG
- 32Ș. TârnovanuG
- 97R. LabonneD
- 5J. DawaD
- 21D. BatubinsikaD
- 4Ricardo PadurariuD
- 73K. MuharM
- 15O. AradM
- 31J. CisottiM
- 10D. DrăguşM
- 7M. KorenicaM
- 14A. GaritaF
- 22M. TomaM
- 90A. StoianF
- 77L. StancuM
- 33R. RadunovićD
- 13M. PopaG
- 98D. PopaF
- 18João PauloM
- 8E. GnahoréM
- 2V. CrețuD
Form going into Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB
Universitatea Craiova
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Corvinul Hunedoara13 September 2026
- W4-0Universitatea Cluj7 September 2026
- D1-1away to Rapid31 August 2026
- L0-1away to Ararat-Armenia27 August 2026
- W3-1FC Voluntari23 August 2026
FCSB
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Petrolul Ploiesti14 September 2026
- L1-2away to Dinamo Bucuresti5 September 2026
- L1-3Uta Arad30 August 2026
- L0-1away to CFR 1907 Cluj23 August 2026
- W3-2FC Botosani17 August 2026
What these results say
- Universitatea Craiova scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- FCSB conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- FCSB failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- FCSB scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitatea Craiova | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 10 | +24 | 33 |
| 8 | FCSB | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Universitatea Craiova vs FCSB
- 15 February 2026Universitatea Craiova 1–0 FCSBLiga I
- 12 February 2026Universitatea Craiova 2–2 FCSBCupa României
- 5 October 2025FCSB 1–0 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 17 May 2025FCSB 1–0 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
- 13 April 2025Universitatea Craiova 0–0 FCSBLiga I
Leading scorers: Universitatea Craiova and FCSB
Universitatea Craiova
GoalsAssists
- S. Elisor90
- A. Al Hamlawi70
FCSB
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Universitatea Craiova beat FCSB 5–0. The model had made a win for Universitatea Craiova its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Assad Al Islam·Al Hamlawi 29' for Universitatea Craiova, Assad Al Islam·Al Hamlawi 45+3' for Universitatea Craiova, Alexandru Cicâldău 57' for Universitatea Craiova, Simon Elisor 68' for Universitatea Craiova, Simon Elisor 87' for Universitatea Craiova.
How the call on Universitatea Craiova v FCSB has moved
First published on 5 Sep at 44% / 26% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 14 updates, it read 41% / 28% / 31%: the biggest move is Universitatea Craiova's chance of winning, down 3 points.
- Universitatea Craiova win41%▼ −3
- Draw28%▲ +2
- FCSB win31%▲ +1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.