Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Real Sociedad II 0-1 Mallorca.
Before kick-off the model made it 34% Real Sociedad II, 29% draw, 37% Mallorca — fair odds of 2.94, 3.45 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Mallorca at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca
Line-ups
- 1Aitor FragaG
- 22RupérezD
- 29Iker RoperoD
- 5K. KitaD
- 3Jon BaldaD
- 14Tomás CarbonellM
- 8Ibai AguirreM
- 7Dani DíazM
- 16Gorka GorosabelM
- 17Lander AstiazaránM
- 18Gorka CarreraF
- 23Unax AgoteD
- 21Jon EceizabarrenaM
- 13T. FolgadoG
- 2Jon GarroD
- 6A. LebarbierM
- 24A. UnaxD
- 10Arkaitz MariezkurrenaF
- 32Lander OlasagastiG
- 12J. OleagaM
- 1Arnau TenasG
- 34M. CalatayudD
- 24M. ValjentD
- 21RaílloD
- 22A. SouhmahoroD
- 7Álex SalaM
- 10DarderM
- 8Manu MorlanesM
- 33Adrian LisoM
- 18FuentesF
- 20Pablo TorreF
- 13L. BergströmG
- 16A. BuksaF
- 19Josep CerdàF
- 25Iván CuéllarG
- 2Guille FernándezM
- 3Toni LatoD
- 5Alberto MorenoD
- 15John NwankwoD
- 17Arnau PuigmalM
Form going into Real Sociedad II vs Mallorca
Real Sociedad II
All competitions we cover
- W3-1away to FC Andorra12 September 2026
- D1-1Tenerife5 September 2026
- D2-2away to Burgos31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Albacete22 August 2026
- L0-1Castellón14 August 2026
Mallorca
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Sabadell13 September 2026
- D0-0away to Eldense5 September 2026
- W3-0AD Ceuta FC30 August 2026
- L0-2away to Granada CF24 August 2026
- W2-0Valladolid15 August 2026
What these results say
- Real Sociedad II conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- Real Sociedad II scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Real Sociedad II.
- Mallorca kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Mallorca had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Real Sociedad II | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 23 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Real Sociedad II and Mallorca
Real Sociedad II
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Mallorca
GoalsAssists
- Fuentes71
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Mallorca won 1–0 at Real Sociedad II. The model had made a win for Mallorca its most likely outcome, at 37%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Adrian Fuentes 81' for Mallorca.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.