FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske Superliga prediction & result
Final score: FC Copenhagen 3-1 Sonderjyske.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% FC Copenhagen, 29% draw, 27% Sonderjyske — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Danish Superliga predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FC Copenhagen at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 41Diant RamajG
- 20Junnosuke SuzukiD
- 5Gabriel PereiraD
- 2Felix BeijmoD
- 15Marcos LópezD
- 36William ClemM
- 21Mads Emil MadsenM
- 33Alex KrálM
- 10Mohamed ElyounoussiM
- 16RobertM
- 14Andreas CorneliusF
- 4Asger SørensenD
- 27Thomas DelaneyM
- 39Viktor Bjarki DadasonF
- 12Thapelo MasekoF
- 34Marvin NasnasM
- 31Rúnar Alex RúnarssonG
- 24Birger MelingD
- 6Ákos MarkgráfD
- 44Geovanni VianneyF
- 1Nicolai FløG
- 12Maxime SoulasD
- 25Brynjar Ingi BjarnasonD
- 4Daníel GrétarssonD
- 3Alexander MunksgaardM
- 6Rasmus VinderslevM
- 33Jacob ChristensenM
- 23Chidiebube DuruM
- 7Sefer EminiF
- 8Mohamed Cherif HaidaraF
- 31Ismaïl SeydiF
- 13Dalton WilkinsD
- 22Andreas OggesenM
- 17Anders HoegM
- 9Matthew HoppeF
- 26Bubacarr TambedouF
- 27Berkant BayrakG
- 19Pachanga KristensenD
- 32David Boison FrimpongF
- 15Lirim QamiliF
Form going into FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske
FC Copenhagen
All competitions we cover
- W4-1Inter Turku27 August 2026
- L0-4away to Viborg23 August 2026
- D0-0away to Inter Turku20 August 2026
- W4-0away to Randers FC16 August 2026
- W5-1Debreceni VSC12 August 2026
Sonderjyske
All competitions we cover
- L0-3FC Nordsjaelland23 August 2026
- L2-3away to Brondby17 August 2026
- D0-0Viborg7 August 2026
- L0-1away to Odense3 August 2026
- L2-3FC Midtjylland26 July 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for FC Copenhagen had three goals or more.
- Sonderjyske did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Sonderjyske conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 12 | +17 | 32 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FC Copenhagen vs Sonderjyske
- 7 December 2025FC Copenhagen 0–2 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 27 September 2025Sonderjyske 1–2 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
- 9 March 2025FC Copenhagen 1–1 SonderjyskeSuperliga
- 30 October 2024Sonderjyske 1–2 FC CopenhagenDBU Pokalen
- 11 August 2024Sonderjyske 0–2 FC CopenhagenSuperliga
Leading scorers: FC Copenhagen and Sonderjyske
FC Copenhagen
GoalsAssists
- M. Elyounoussi72
- B. Meling51
Sonderjyske
GoalsAssists
- M. Haidara50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Copenhagen beat Sonderjyske 3–1. The model had made a win for FC Copenhagen its most likely outcome, at 44%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Alexander Munksgaard 7' for Sonderjyske, Mohamed Elyounoussi 30' for FC Copenhagen, Mads Emil Madsen 45+4' for FC Copenhagen, Mohamed Elyounoussi 64' for FC Copenhagen. Sent off: Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason (Sonderjyske) 70'. On expected goals it finished 2.43–0.78.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.