HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb HNL prediction & result
Final score: HNK Hajduk Split 2-0 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% HNK Hajduk Split, 26% draw, 24% NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts HNK Hajduk Split at 50% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
- W4-0NK Osijek23 August 2026
- W2-1away to HNK Gorica16 August 2026
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
- L1-4away to Rudes21 August 2026
- L0-1away to NK Osijek15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
HNL table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 16 |
| 7 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
- 16 May 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–1 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
- 15 March 2026HNK Hajduk Split 2–1 NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL
- 13 December 2025NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 1–3 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
- 27 September 2025HNK Hajduk Split 2–0 NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL
- 13 April 2025HNK Hajduk Split 1–1 NK Lokomotiva ZagrebHNL
- 2 February 2025NK Lokomotiva Zagreb 3–2 HNK Hajduk SplitHNL
Leading scorers: HNK Hajduk Split and NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
- M. Šego4 goals
- M. Livaja3 goals
- M. Šotiček2 goals1 assists
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
- D. Vuković2 goals2 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.