30 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby Superliga prediction & result

Right to Dream Park, Farum
Full time3 – 1

Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 3-1 Brondby.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% FC Nordsjaelland, 26% draw, 26% Brondby — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FC Nordsjaelland at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Nordsjaelland99%Draw1%Brondby0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Alexander Lindassist: Juho Lähteenmäki
12'
⚽Justin Janssenassist: Runar Robinsonn Norheim
22'
27'
Bartosz Slisz
Juho Lähteenmäki
31'
Prince Amoako Junior
34'
46'
🔁Mats Köhlertout: Marko Divković
🔁Prince Amoako Juniorout: Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
53'
🔁Alexander Lindout: Villum Berthelsen
53'
🔁Tobias Salquistout: Stephen Acquah
53'
59'
🔁Olti Hyseniout: Oskar Fenger
65'
🔁Filip Bundgaardout: Patrick Mortensen
65'
🔁Marcus Younisout: Sho Fukuda
🔁Ibrahim Adelout: Nicklas Røjkjær
69'
81'
🔁Max Ejdumout: Daniel Wass
Peter Ankersen
82'
⚽Hjalte Boe Rasmussenassist: Mark Brink
83'
🔁Mark Brinkout: Malte Heyde
84'
90+1'
⚽Patrick Mortensenassist: Bartosz Slisz

Match stats — FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby

40%Possession60%
15Shots16
9On target4
4Corners5
3.32xG1.76

Goals against chances

FC Nordsjaelland3 from 3.32 xGabout what the chances were worth
Brondby1 from 1.76 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FC Nordsjaelland 3-4-3
  • 13Andreas HansenG
  • 2Peter AnkersenD
  • 3Tobias SalquistD
  • 4Noah MarkmannD
  • 23Runar Robinsonn NorheimM
  • 18Justin JanssenM
  • 6Mark BrinkM
  • 25Juho LähteenmäkiM
  • 14Ibrahim AdelF
  • 11Alexander LindF
  • 10Prince Amoako JuniorF
Substitutes
  • 15Stephen AcquahD
  • 29Villum BerthelsenM
  • 40Hjalte Boe RasmussenM
  • 8Nicklas RøjkjærM
  • 47Malte HeydeM
  • 22Carljohan ErikssonG
  • 32Victor GustafsenD
  • 42Matej TukaD
  • 37Lamine SadioM
Coach: Jens Olsen
Brondby 4-2-3-1
  • 1Patrick PentzG
  • 2Oliver VilladsenD
  • 30Jordi VanlerbergheD
  • 4Luis BinksD
  • 27Mats KöhlertD
  • 99Bartosz SliszM
  • 18Max EjdumM
  • 21Marcus YounisM
  • 29Mads FrøkjærM
  • 7Olti HyseniM
  • 11Filip BundgaardF
Substitutes
  • 24Marko DivkovićD
  • 51Oskar FengerF
  • 19Sho FukudaF
  • 9Patrick MortensenF
  • 10Daniel WassM
  • 50William Sonne-SchmidtG
  • 32Frederik AlvesD
  • 37Raphael CanutD
  • 3Christopher OlivierD
Coach: Thomas Norgaard

Form going into FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby

FC Nordsjaelland

All competitions we cover

  • W3-2away to FC St. Gallen27 August 2026
  • W3-0away to Sonderjyske23 August 2026
  • W1-0FC St. Gallen20 August 2026
  • W1-0Silkeborg16 August 2026
  • W5-0Valur Reykjavik13 August 2026

Brondby

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1Silkeborg24 August 2026
  • W3-2Sonderjyske17 August 2026
  • W2-0away to AC Horsens9 August 2026
  • W1-0Viborg2 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Aarhus25 July 2026

What these results say

  • FC Nordsjaelland won every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Nordsjaelland scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Nordsjaelland kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Brondby went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Brondby scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Brondby won 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Superliga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4FC Nordsjaelland146532618+823
5Brondby147162321+222

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby

  • 4 July 2026Brondby 3–3 FC NordsjaellandFriendlies Clubs
  • 1 May 2026Brondby 1–1 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
  • 7 April 2026FC Nordsjaelland 2–1 BrondbySuperliga
  • 9 November 2025Brondby 2–0 FC NordsjaellandSuperliga
  • 30 October 2025FC Nordsjaelland 4–2 BrondbyDBU Pokalen

Leading scorers: FC Nordsjaelland and Brondby

FC Nordsjaelland

GoalsAssists

  • A. Lind63
  • Ibrahim Adel43
  • H. Boe Rasmussen42

Brondby

GoalsAssists

  • M. Frøkjær-Jensen51
  • O. Hyseni43

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Nordsjaelland beat Brondby 3–1. The model had made a win for FC Nordsjaelland its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Alexander Lind 12' for FC Nordsjaelland, Justin Janssen 22' for FC Nordsjaelland, Hjalte Boe Rasmussen 83' for FC Nordsjaelland, Patrick Mortensen 90+1' for Brondby. On expected goals it finished 3.32–1.76.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.