Bucheon FC 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Bucheon FC 1995 0-5 Daejeon Citizen.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Bucheon FC 1995, 29% draw, 30% Daejeon Citizen — fair odds of 2.44, 3.45 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Bucheon FC 1995 at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Bucheon FC 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen
Line-ups
- 1H. KimG
- 3Patrick WilliamD
- 29Baek Dong-GyuD
- 20Hong Sung-WookD
- 7Thiaguinho SantosM
- 16Kim Sang-JunM
- 14Kim Jong-WooM
- 25Yeo Bong-HunM
- 10Rodrigo BassaniF
- 99Gustavo NescauF
- 11GalegoF
- 31Lee Sang-hyeonG
- 2Kim Jong-MinD
- 6Jeong Ho-JinM
- 66Yu Seung-HyunD
- 4S. Ye-Geon
- 8Yoon Bit-GaramM
- 71Kim Seung-BinM
- 13Kim Min-JunM
- 18Lee Eui-HyeongF
- 1Lee Chang-GeunG
- 6Kang Yun-SungD
- 4Cho Sung-GwonD
- 98A. KrivotsyukD
- 16Lee Myung-JaeD
- 44Lee Soon-MinM
- 7M. IshidaM
- 8Victor BobsinM
- 27Jeong Jae-HeeF
- 9Diogo OliveiraF
- 19Seo Jin-SuF
- 31Kim Min-SooG
- 2K. ParkD
- 45Ha Chang-RaeD
- 14Kim Jun-BeomM
- 20H. LeeM
- 41Park Byung-chanM
- 10Joo Min-KyuF
- 17G. LudwigsonM
- 99Yu Kang-HyunF
Form going into Bucheon FC 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen
Bucheon FC 1995
All competitions we cover
- D1-1FC Anyang29 August 2026
- L0-1away to FC Seoul25 August 2026
- L0-3away to Pohang Steelers22 August 2026
- W3-2Jeonbuk Motors16 August 2026
- D0-0Gwangju FC8 August 2026
Daejeon Citizen
All competitions we cover
- L1-3away to Jeju United FC30 August 2026
- W2-1Ulsan Hyundai FC26 August 2026
- W3-0Gangwon FC23 August 2026
- L2-4away to FC Seoul15 August 2026
- W2-1away to FC Anyang8 August 2026
What these results say
- Bucheon FC 1995 failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Bucheon FC 1995 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Daejeon Citizen scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Daejeon Citizen had three goals or more.
- Daejeon Citizen conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 33 |
| 3 | Daejeon Citizen | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 41 | +14 | 53 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Bucheon FC 1995 and Daejeon Citizen
Bucheon FC 1995
GoalsAssists
- Jefferson Galego51
Daejeon Citizen
GoalsAssists
- Diogo de Oliveira62
- Jeong Jae-Hee41
- M. Ishida41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Daejeon Citizen won 5–0 at Bucheon FC 1995. The model had leaned towards a win for Bucheon FC 1995 at 41% and given a win for Daejeon Citizen 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: M. Ishida 23' for Daejeon Citizen, Diogo Oliveira (penalty) 38' for Daejeon Citizen, Jeong Jae-Hee 48' for Daejeon Citizen, Cho Sung-Gwon 78' for Daejeon Citizen, Jeong Jae-Hee 82' for Daejeon Citizen.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.