13 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

FC St. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Kybunpark, St. Gallen
Full time5 – 1

Final score: FC St. Gallen 5-1 Sheriff Tiraspol.

Before kick-off the model made it 72% FC St. Gallen, 16% draw, 12% Sheriff Tiraspol — fair odds of 1.39, 6.25 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FC St. Gallen at 72% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into FC St. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol

FC St. Gallen

  • D2-2FC Luzern9 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Sheriff Tiraspol6 August 2026
  • W3-2away to FC Vaduz2 August 2026
  • L0-5away to Benfica30 July 2026
  • W2-1FC Zurich26 July 2026

Sheriff Tiraspol

  • L1-3FC St. Gallen6 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Maccabi Tel Aviv30 July 2026
  • L0-5Maccabi Tel Aviv23 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: FC St. Gallen vs Sheriff Tiraspol

  • 6 August 2026Sheriff Tiraspol 1–3 FC St. GallenUEFA Europa Conference League

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

Leading scorers: FC St. Gallen and Sheriff Tiraspol

FC St. Gallen

  • A. Hunziker3 goals1 assists

Sheriff Tiraspol

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.