Shelbourne vs Ajax UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Shelbourne 2-2 Ajax.
Before kick-off the model made it 8% Shelbourne, 14% draw, 78% Ajax — fair odds of 12.50, 7.14 and 1.28. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ajax at 78% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Shelbourne vs Ajax
Shelbourne
- L1-2St Patrick's Athletic9 August 2026
Ajax
- W2-0away to PEC Zwolle9 August 2026
- W3-1Shelbourne6 August 2026
- W4-1Vojvodina30 July 2026
- W4-1away to Vojvodina23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Shelbourne and Ajax in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shelbourne | Premier Division | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
| 4 | Ajax | Eredivisie | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 13 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Premier Division · Eredivisie
Head-to-head: Shelbourne vs Ajax
- 6 August 2026Ajax 3–1 ShelbourneUEFA Europa Conference League
Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.
Leading scorers: Shelbourne and Ajax
Shelbourne
- H. Wood7 goals5 assists
- J. Martin6 goals2 assists
- D. Kelly6 goals
Ajax
- J. Brandt3 goals
- D. Klaassen3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.