22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC

FF Jaro vs AC Oulu Veikkausliiga prediction & result

Project Liv Arena, Pietarsaari
Full time0 – 1

Final score: FF Jaro 0-1 AC Oulu.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% FF Jaro, 26% draw, 30% AC Oulu — fair odds of 2.27, 3.85 and 3.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts FF Jaro at 44% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FF Jaro0%Draw5%AC Oulu95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

9'
M. Arsalo
A. Vidjeskog
37'
63'
C. Triana
64'
🔁C. Trianaout: L. Ghezali
🔁A. Vidjeskogout: V. Lofs
65'
🔁V. Vuorinenout: L. Zetterstrom
65'
🔁K. Hardenout: J. Remesaho
65'
M. Ogungbaro
71'
72'
⚽N. Jokelainen
🔁A. Bjonbackout: J. Myrevik
74'
75'
🔁M. Arsaloout: J. Paananen
85'
🔁R. Karjalainenout: M. Ojala
85'
🔁N. Jokelainenout: S. Silander
87'
L. Ghezali

Line-ups

FF Jaro 4-2-3-1
  • 1Senne VitsG
  • 5Aron BjonbäckD
  • 6Johan BrunellD
  • 4Michael OgungbaroD
  • 19Fabian Östigard NessD
  • 8Oliver Kass KawoM
  • 16Adam VidjeskogM
  • 11Herman SjögrellM
  • 22Kaius HardénM
  • 77Abdi Mohamed SabriyeM
  • 91Ville VuorinenM
Substitutes
  • 31Anton FinellG
  • 20Ted SoderstromD
  • 2Felix KassD
  • 21Jim MyrevikD
  • 24Valde LofsM
  • 42Joni RemesahoM
  • 18Elliot HolmängF
  • 27Joas VikströmF
  • 9Linus ZetterstromF
Coach: Jens Karlsson
AC Oulu 4-2-3-1
  • 13Miguel SantosG
  • 16Otto KemppainenD
  • 5Mikko PitkänenD
  • 66Juha PirinenD
  • 18Adramane CassamaM
  • 25Markus ArsaloM
  • 21Iiro MendolinM
  • 14Niklas JokelainenM
  • 7Rasmus KarjalainenM
  • 22Tuomas KaukuaM
  • 10Camilo TrianaF
Substitutes
  • 99Niklas SchulzG
  • 3Alex LietsaD
  • 2Sami SipolaD
  • 29Santeri SilanderD
  • 30Juuso MakelainenM
  • 6Julius PaananenM
  • 8Matias OjalaM
  • 11Lamine GhezaliM
  • 27Elias KallioM
Coach: Mikko Isokangas

Form going into FF Jaro vs AC Oulu

FF Jaro

  • L0-3away to HJK Helsinki16 August 2026

AC Oulu

  • L2-3Inter Turku16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11FF Jaro2236131844-2615
5AC Oulu2210482525034

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FF Jaro vs AC Oulu

  • 31 May 2026AC Oulu 2–1 FF JaroVeikkausliiga
  • 15 April 2026AC Oulu 1–2 FF JaroSuomen Cup
  • 28 March 2026FF Jaro 2–3 AC OuluFriendlies Clubs
  • 7 February 2026FF Jaro 2–6 AC OuluLeague Cup
  • 14 September 2025FF Jaro 1–2 AC OuluVeikkausliiga
  • 2 August 2025AC Oulu 0–1 FF JaroVeikkausliiga

Leading scorers: FF Jaro and AC Oulu

FF Jaro

  • H. Sjögrell5 goals1 assists

AC Oulu

  • J. Körkkö2 goals2 assists
  • E. Kallio2 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.