Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC K League 1 prediction & result
Final score: Jeju United FC 0-0 Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 68% Jeju United FC, 17% draw, 15% Gimcheon Sangmu FC — fair odds of 1.47, 5.88 and 6.67. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Jeju United FC at 68% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Jeju United FC
- W2-0FC Anyang15 August 2026
- W3-1away to Jeonbuk Motors8 August 2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- D1-1away to Incheon United16 August 2026
- D0-0FC Seoul8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
K League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jeju United FC | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 29 | +5 | 43 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 29 | 4 | 18 | 7 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- 5 July 2026Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
- 18 April 2026Jeju United FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 26 July 2025Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
- 17 May 2025Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 Jeju United FCK League 1
- 22 February 2025Jeju United FC 2–3 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
- 1 September 2024Jeju United FC 1–0 Gimcheon Sangmu FCK League 1
Leading scorers: Jeju United FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC
Jeju United FC
- Matheus Aiás3 goals2 assists
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
- Go Jae-Hyeon4 goals3 assists
- Lee Kun-Hee3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.