FK Partizan
vs
Radnicki NIS
Super Liga prediction
Our model says: FK Partizan 2–1 Radnicki NIS
The model makes it 60% FK Partizan, 21% draw, 19% Radnicki NIS — fair odds of 1.67, 4.76 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1 (10%).
Expected goals: FK Partizan 2.40, Radnicki NIS 1.14.
Both teams to score: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%, under 2.5: 32%.
Model confidence: High — calls at this level have come off 61% of the time, over 2,154 settled matches.
Edge to FK Partizan: the better side on the model's ratings, but not by much. In past matches rated this way the favourite won 54%, 26% were drawn and the underdog won 21%.
Published · updated
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. FK Partizan's rating is built from 52 Serbian SuperLiga matches and Radnicki NIS's from 51, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most. Goal level and home advantage are this competition's own, measured over 700 matches.
Key facts
- FK Partizan are 10th on 17 points from 15 games; Radnicki NIS are 13th on 8 points from 14 games — Super Liga.
- FK Partizan have won 2 of their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat at home to Macva.
- Radnicki NIS have not won in their last 5 games, most recently a 1-2 defeat away to Cukaricki.
- Last 6 meetings: FK Partizan 3 wins to 1, 2 draws; the most recent, 28 October 2026, ended Radnicki NIS 2–3 FK Partizan.
More Serbian SuperLiga predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: FK Partizan vs Radnicki NIS
Has the model earned this number?
FK Partizan at 60%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into FK Partizan vs Radnicki NIS
FK Partizan
Super Liga
- L1-2Macva8 November 2026
- W3-0Zemun1 November 2026
- W3-2away to Radnicki NIS28 October 2026
- L0-2Cukaricki24 October 2026
- L0-1away to Železničar Pančevo18 October 2026
Radnicki NIS
Super Liga
- L1-2away to Cukaricki7 November 2026
- L2-3FK Partizan28 October 2026
- L0-2Novi Pazar23 October 2026
- L0-3away to Radnik Surdulica16 October 2026
- L1-4Vojvodina11 October 2026
What these results say
- FK Partizan conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Radnicki NIS did not win any of these 5 matches.
- Radnicki NIS conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Radnicki NIS had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serbia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | FK Partizan | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 17 |
| 13 | Radnicki NIS | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
What's at stake
FK Partizan
Chance to finish in the top six · 22% today
Radnicki NIS
Chance to finish in the bottom three · 84% today
From our Super Liga season simulation: the rest of the season played out 10,000 times by the same model as the prediction above. How to read this.
Head-to-head: FK Partizan vs Radnicki NIS
- 28 October 2026Radnicki NIS 2–3 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- 31 January 2026FK Partizan 0–0 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
- 24 August 2025Radnicki NIS 2–2 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- 21 December 2024Radnicki NIS 0–1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
- 4 December 2024FK Partizan 3–1 Radnicki NISSuper Liga
- 11 December 2023Radnicki NIS 2–1 FK PartizanSuper Liga
Leading scorers: FK Partizan and Radnicki NIS
FK Partizan
GoalsAssists
- E. Kojzek32
Radnicki NIS
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives FK Partizan the highest probability at 60%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 2.40 expected goals for FK Partizan against 1.14 for Radnicki NIS. FK Partizan's attack/defence rating is 0.71/1.96 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.45/2.12 for Radnicki NIS.
How the model reaches 60% for FK Partizan to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 37% for FK Partizan to win. Then home advantage adds 5 points, the level of the two sides adds 1 point, FK Partizan's ratings add 10 points and Radnicki NIS's ratings add 7 points, which lands on the published 60%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground37%
- Home advantage42%+5
- Both sides at this match's level43%+1
- FK Partizan's ratings53%+10
- Radnicki NIS's ratings60%+7
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
FK Partizan at home · Radnicki NIS away
League matches only, Super Liga, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All Super Liga matches this season: FK Partizan 15, Radnicki NIS 14.
FK Partizan score most often in the 76–90 minute window (8 goals); Radnicki NIS have let in 3 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
FK Partizan
- at Radnicki 19236 Dec · Super Ligawin 33%
- vs Mladost Lucani6 Feb · Super Ligawin 58%
- at OFK Beograd13 Feb · Super Ligawin 40%
- vs FK Crvena Zvezda20 Feb · Super Ligawin 19%
Radnicki NIS
- vs IMT Novi Beograd6 Dec · Super Ligawin 27%
- vs Macva6 Feb · Super Ligawin 39%
- at Radnicki 192313 Feb · Super Ligawin 20%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.