Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Getafe 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Getafe, 28% draw, 30% Deportivo La Coruna — fair odds of 2.38, 3.57 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Getafe at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna
Line-ups
- 13David SoriaG
- 15S. BoselliD
- 8N. GudeljD
- 2D. DakonamD
- 22J. MojicaD
- 11Ramón TerratsM
- 6Mario MartínM
- 23O. MangalaM
- 10M. SatrianoM
- 19E. ÜnalF
- 20Iván AzónF
- 3DavinchiD
- 26J. ValouD
- 4S. SazonovD
- 9Borja MayoralF
- 30Óscar LópezM
- 1J. LetáčekG
- 32JoseluF
- 27Ebrahima DrammehF
- 35Diego FerrerG
- 13Leo RománG
- 23Ximo NavarroD
- 4L. NoubiD
- 20J. GiménezD
- 12G. QuagliataD
- 19Luismi CruzM
- 16L. AmatucciM
- 6Marc CasadóM
- 21Mario SorianoM
- 32B. NsongoF
- 7P. AubameyangF
- 2Adrià AltiD
- 17AngeliñoD
- 24Adama TraoréF
- 14Riki RodríguezM
- 11David MellaF
- 15Miguel LoureiroD
- 10PekeF
- 25Álvaro FernándezG
- 22B. EdeD
Form going into Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna
Getafe
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Celta Vigo7 September 2026
- L0-1away to Osasuna31 August 2026
- L1-2away to FK Partizan27 August 2026
- W1-0Racing Santander23 August 2026
- W3-1FK Partizan20 August 2026
Deportivo La Coruna
All competitions we cover
- W3-2away to Villarreal5 September 2026
- W3-1Valencia30 August 2026
- D1-1away to Malaga24 August 2026
- D1-1Elche17 August 2026
What these results say
- Getafe scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Getafe conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Deportivo La Coruna went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
- Deportivo La Coruna scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Deportivo La Coruna conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 12 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna
- 28 February 2018Getafe 3–0 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
- 30 September 2017Deportivo La Coruna 2–1 GetafeLa Liga
- 1 May 2016Deportivo La Coruna 0–2 GetafeLa Liga
- 30 December 2015Getafe 0–0 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
- 5 April 2015Getafe 2–1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
Leading scorers: Getafe and Deportivo La Coruna
Getafe
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Deportivo La Coruna
GoalsAssists
- P. Aubameyang52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Getafe and Deportivo La Coruna drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Getafe at 42% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Ramón Terrats 66' for Getafe, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 78' for Deportivo La Coruna.
How the call on Getafe v Deportivo La Coruna has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 48% / 27% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 7 updates, it read 42% / 28% / 30%: the biggest move is Getafe's chance of winning, down 6 points.
- Getafe win42%▼ −6
- Draw28%▲ +1
- Deportivo La Coruna win30%▲ +5
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.