Valladolid vs Oviedo Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Valladolid 0-3 Oviedo.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Valladolid, 29% draw, 40% Oviedo — fair odds of 3.23, 3.45 and 2.50.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Segunda División predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Oviedo at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Valladolid vs Oviedo
Line-ups
- 1Álvaro AcevesG
- 14Iván AlejoD
- 5Ramón MartínezD
- 4David TorresD
- 18ClercD
- 21J. PonceauM
- 16Álex BalboaM
- 23T. AbedM
- 7Luis ChacónM
- 22K. de RooijM
- 20R. DuivenF
- 30Víctor FernándezM
- 3Homam AhmedD
- 19Adrian ArnuncioF
- 17Victor BarberáF
- 11Yeray CabanzónF
- 27Iván GarrielD
- 24S. JurićM
- 9Juanmi LatasaF
- 26L. LavagninoG
- 13Aarón EscandellG
- 2AisarD
- 12Dani CalvoD
- 23Carlos DomínguezD
- 3Juan CruzD
- 5Y. DidiM
- 6Dani VillahermosaM
- 10Alberto ReinaM
- 8Mikel GotiM
- 20Pablo SáenzM
- 24A. IșfanF
- 30Marco EstebanD
- 18V. MingoF
- 11Jacobo GonzálezF
- 21David JiménezD
- 28D. MenendezM
- 17EstanisF
- 32Enzo PerezF
- 15S. RodriguezD
- 1Miguel NarváezG
Form going into Valladolid vs Oviedo
Valladolid
All competitions we cover
- W1-0FC Andorra5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Cadiz30 August 2026
- L0-1away to Eibar23 August 2026
- L0-2away to Mallorca15 August 2026
Oviedo
All competitions we cover
- D0-0Burgos6 September 2026
- W1-0away to Albacete29 August 2026
- L0-1Leganes22 August 2026
- D0-0Granada CF15 August 2026
What these results say
- Every one of these 4 matches for Valladolid had two goals or fewer.
- Valladolid failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Valladolid conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for Oviedo had two goals or fewer.
- Oviedo failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Oviedo failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Valladolid | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 21 | +1 | 18 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Valladolid vs Oviedo
- 23 February 2024Valladolid 3–0 OviedoSegunda División
- 24 September 2023Oviedo 0–1 ValladolidSegunda División
- 13 March 2022Oviedo 3–0 ValladolidSegunda División
- 12 December 2021Valladolid 2–1 OviedoSegunda División
- 20 April 2018Oviedo 1–2 ValladolidSegunda División
Leading scorers: Valladolid and Oviedo
Valladolid
GoalsAssists
- Adrian Arnuncio51
Oviedo
GoalsAssists
- Carlos Domínguez50
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Oviedo won 3–0 at Valladolid. The model had made a win for Oviedo its most likely outcome, at 40%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Carlos Dominguez 25' for Oviedo, Dani Calvo 53' for Oviedo, Pablo Saenz 56' for Oviedo.